**President Trump's renewed push to remove Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, following the Supreme Court's June 29, 2026, 5-4 ruling blocking immediate dismissal on procedural grounds, remains the central driver of trader sentiment.** The decision upheld "for cause" protections under the Federal Reserve Act, requiring due process and a factual basis reviewable by courts, while leaving open the possibility of a properly structured future attempt tied to pre-appointment mortgage allegations that Cook denies. With Cook's term extending to 2038 and no subsequent charges or resolutions reported through early September 2026, market-implied odds for removal by year-end stay very low, reflecting traders' assessment that Fed independence precedents and litigation timelines create substantial barriers. Key upcoming catalysts include further district court proceedings on the merits and any administration filings meeting procedural standards.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$17,027 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
September 30
1%
October 31
2%
November 30
6%
December 31
7%
$17,027 Vol.
September 30
$7,851 Vol.
1%
October 31
$6,227 Vol.
2%
November 30
$1,136 Vol.
6%
December 31
$1,813 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.**President Trump's renewed push to remove Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, following the Supreme Court's June 29, 2026, 5-4 ruling blocking immediate dismissal on procedural grounds, remains the central driver of trader sentiment.** The decision upheld "for cause" protections under the Federal Reserve Act, requiring due process and a factual basis reviewable by courts, while leaving open the possibility of a properly structured future attempt tied to pre-appointment mortgage allegations that Cook denies. With Cook's term extending to 2038 and no subsequent charges or resolutions reported through early September 2026, market-implied odds for removal by year-end stay very low, reflecting traders' assessment that Fed independence precedents and litigation timelines create substantial barriers. Key upcoming catalysts include further district court proceedings on the merits and any administration filings meeting procedural standards.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Market Opened: Aug 7, 2026, 5:51 PM ET
Volume
$17,027End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 5:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.**President Trump's renewed push to remove Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, following the Supreme Court's June 29, 2026, 5-4 ruling blocking immediate dismissal on procedural grounds, remains the central driver of trader sentiment.** The decision upheld "for cause" protections under the Federal Reserve Act, requiring due process and a factual basis reviewable by courts, while leaving open the possibility of a properly structured future attempt tied to pre-appointment mortgage allegations that Cook denies. With Cook's term extending to 2038 and no subsequent charges or resolutions reported through early September 2026, market-implied odds for removal by year-end stay very low, reflecting traders' assessment that Fed independence precedents and litigation timelines create substantial barriers. Key upcoming catalysts include further district court proceedings on the merits and any administration filings meeting procedural standards.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Volume
$17,027End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 5:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**President Trump's renewed push to remove Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, following the Supreme Court's June 29, 2026, 5-4 ruling blocking immediate dismissal on procedural grounds, remains the central driver of trader sentiment.** The decision upheld "for cause" protections under the Federal Reserve Act, requiring due process and a factual basis reviewable by courts, while leaving open the possibility of a properly structured future attempt tied to pre-appointment mortgage allegations that Cook denies. With Cook's term extending to 2038 and no subsequent charges or resolutions reported through early September 2026, market-implied odds for removal by year-end stay very low, reflecting traders' assessment that Fed independence precedents and litigation timelines create substantial barriers. Key upcoming catalysts include further district court proceedings on the merits and any administration filings meeting procedural standards.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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