Chen Yu-jen, the Kuomintang legislator and party nominee, holds a commanding position in the November 28, 2026, Kinmen County magistrate race due to unified party support and strong local polling. Rival Yang Cheng-wu withdrew in early September to avoid splitting KMT votes, leaving fragmented independent challengers including former deputy magistrate Li Wen-liang and others with no DPP contender in the field. Internal surveys have shown Chen with satisfaction ratings near 78 percent and leads exceeding 40 points over remaining opponents, consistent with Kinmen’s historical KMT leanings and her emphasis on cross-strait stability, long-term care, and local economic ties. Trader consensus at 91.5 percent for Chen reflects this consolidation, though late developments such as scandals, shifts in Beijing-Taipei relations, or unusually high independent turnout could still alter the outcome before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedChen Yu-jen 92%
Yang Cheng-wu 3.9%
Li Wen-liang 3.7%
Liang Wen-tao 1.3%
$10,946 Vol.
$10,946 Vol.
Jun 30, 2027
Chen Yu-jen
92%
Yang Cheng-wu
4%
Li Wen-liang
4%
Liang Wen-tao
1%
Chen Yu-jen 92%
Yang Cheng-wu 3.9%
Li Wen-liang 3.7%
Liang Wen-tao 1.3%
$10,946 Vol.
$10,946 Vol.
Jun 30, 2027
Chen Yu-jen
$9,571 Vol.
92%
Yang Cheng-wu
$572 Vol.
4%
Li Wen-liang
$498 Vol.
4%
Liang Wen-tao
$304 Vol.
1%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Kinmen County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chen Yu-jen, the Kuomintang legislator and party nominee, holds a commanding position in the November 28, 2026, Kinmen County magistrate race due to unified party support and strong local polling. Rival Yang Cheng-wu withdrew in early September to avoid splitting KMT votes, leaving fragmented independent challengers including former deputy magistrate Li Wen-liang and others with no DPP contender in the field. Internal surveys have shown Chen with satisfaction ratings near 78 percent and leads exceeding 40 points over remaining opponents, consistent with Kinmen’s historical KMT leanings and her emphasis on cross-strait stability, long-term care, and local economic ties. Trader consensus at 91.5 percent for Chen reflects this consolidation, though late developments such as scandals, shifts in Beijing-Taipei relations, or unusually high independent turnout could still alter the outcome before election day.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Kinmen County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Kinmen County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Market Opened: Aug 14, 2026, 9:04 AM ET
Volume
$10,946End Date
Nov 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 9:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Kinmen County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chen Yu-jen, the Kuomintang legislator and party nominee, holds a commanding position in the November 28, 2026, Kinmen County magistrate race due to unified party support and strong local polling. Rival Yang Cheng-wu withdrew in early September to avoid splitting KMT votes, leaving fragmented independent challengers including former deputy magistrate Li Wen-liang and others with no DPP contender in the field. Internal surveys have shown Chen with satisfaction ratings near 78 percent and leads exceeding 40 points over remaining opponents, consistent with Kinmen’s historical KMT leanings and her emphasis on cross-strait stability, long-term care, and local economic ties. Trader consensus at 91.5 percent for Chen reflects this consolidation, though late developments such as scandals, shifts in Beijing-Taipei relations, or unusually high independent turnout could still alter the outcome before election day.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Kinmen County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Kinmen County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$10,946End Date
Nov 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 9:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Chen Yu-jen, the Kuomintang legislator and party nominee, holds a commanding position in the November 28, 2026, Kinmen County magistrate race due to unified party support and strong local polling. Rival Yang Cheng-wu withdrew in early September to avoid splitting KMT votes, leaving fragmented independent challengers including former deputy magistrate Li Wen-liang and others with no DPP contender in the field. Internal surveys have shown Chen with satisfaction ratings near 78 percent and leads exceeding 40 points over remaining opponents, consistent with Kinmen’s historical KMT leanings and her emphasis on cross-strait stability, long-term care, and local economic ties. Trader consensus at 91.5 percent for Chen reflects this consolidation, though late developments such as scandals, shifts in Beijing-Taipei relations, or unusually high independent turnout could still alter the outcome before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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