**Traders heavily favor fewer than five posts by the current Supreme Leader (Mojtaba Khamenei, via accounts such as @MKhamenei_ir) in the June 19–26 window, pricing that outcome at 82.5%.** This reflects his established pattern of low-volume, burst-style activity on X, with spikes occurring mainly during acute geopolitical crises rather than routine periods. Recent months show continued reliance on written statements and office-issued messaging amid persistent questions over public visibility, with officials describing him as fully engaged yet providing no live video or audio appearances. No major diplomatic, military, or domestic triggers have emerged in the past 30 days that historically correlate with higher posting frequency. Comparable weekly markets earlier in June resolved toward the sub-five bracket under similar quiet conditions. Higher buckets remain thinly priced because sustained output would require an unforeseen escalation or policy announcement within the narrow resolution window. Resolution depends on verifiable posts from the official account(s) during the exact seven-day period.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedKhamenei # posts June 19 - June 26, 2026?
Khamenei # posts June 19 - June 26, 2026?
<5 100.0%
15-19 <1%
5-9 <1%
10-14 <1%
$20,625 Vol.
$20,625 Vol.
<5
Yes
5-9
No
10-14
No
15-19
No
20-24
No
25-29
No
30-34
No
35-39
No
40-44
No
45-49
No
50-54
No
55-59
No
60+
No
<5 100.0%
15-19 <1%
5-9 <1%
10-14 <1%
$20,625 Vol.
$20,625 Vol.
<5
Yes
5-9
No
10-14
No
15-19
No
20-24
No
25-29
No
30-34
No
35-39
No
40-44
No
45-49
No
50-54
No
55-59
No
60+
No
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Jun 16, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
**Traders heavily favor fewer than five posts by the current Supreme Leader (Mojtaba Khamenei, via accounts such as @MKhamenei_ir) in the June 19–26 window, pricing that outcome at 82.5%.** This reflects his established pattern of low-volume, burst-style activity on X, with spikes occurring mainly during acute geopolitical crises rather than routine periods. Recent months show continued reliance on written statements and office-issued messaging amid persistent questions over public visibility, with officials describing him as fully engaged yet providing no live video or audio appearances. No major diplomatic, military, or domestic triggers have emerged in the past 30 days that historically correlate with higher posting frequency. Comparable weekly markets earlier in June resolved toward the sub-five bracket under similar quiet conditions. Higher buckets remain thinly priced because sustained output would require an unforeseen escalation or policy announcement within the narrow resolution window. Resolution depends on verifiable posts from the official account(s) during the exact seven-day period.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions