Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 20-24 posts from Ayatollah Khamenei's official @khamenei_ir account during April 3-10, reflecting real-time monitoring of its steady output of statements amid ongoing regional tensions, consistent with historical patterns of 2-3 posts per active day or bursts around commemorations like Eid al-Fitr. Following Khamenei's martyrdom on February 28 in reported US-Israeli strikes, the account—managed by his office—continues disseminating prior remarks without disruption, locking in the count as the period closes today. A commanding 100% implied probability underscores no recent deviations; only an improbable late surge of 10+ posts on April 10 could shift toward 30-34, though typical cadence makes this unlikely absent major announcements.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedKhamenei # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?
Khamenei # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?
20-24 100.0%
<5 <1%
5-9 <1%
10-14 <1%
$23,883 Vol.
$23,883 Vol.
<5
No
5-9
No
10-14
No
15-19
No
20-24
Yes
25-29
No
30-34
No
35-39
No
40-44
No
45-49
No
50-54
No
55-59
No
60+
No
20-24 100.0%
<5 <1%
5-9 <1%
10-14 <1%
$23,883 Vol.
$23,883 Vol.
<5
No
5-9
No
10-14
No
15-19
No
20-24
Yes
25-29
No
30-34
No
35-39
No
40-44
No
45-49
No
50-54
No
55-59
No
60+
No
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Mar 31, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 20-24 posts from Ayatollah Khamenei's official @khamenei_ir account during April 3-10, reflecting real-time monitoring of its steady output of statements amid ongoing regional tensions, consistent with historical patterns of 2-3 posts per active day or bursts around commemorations like Eid al-Fitr. Following Khamenei's martyrdom on February 28 in reported US-Israeli strikes, the account—managed by his office—continues disseminating prior remarks without disruption, locking in the count as the period closes today. A commanding 100% implied probability underscores no recent deviations; only an improbable late surge of 10+ posts on April 10 could shift toward 30-34, though typical cadence makes this unlikely absent major announcements.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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