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Khamenei # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?

Market icon

Khamenei # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?

20-24 100.0%

<5 <1%

5-9 <1%

10-14 <1%

Polymarket

$23,883 Vol.

20-24 100.0%

<5 <1%

5-9 <1%

10-14 <1%

Polymarket

$23,883 Vol.

<5

$1,746 Vol.

No

5-9

$2,100 Vol.

No

10-14

$1,936 Vol.

No

15-19

$2,346 Vol.

No

20-24

$865 Vol.

Yes

25-29

$1,011 Vol.

No

30-34

$764 Vol.

No

35-39

$3,520 Vol.

No

40-44

$641 Vol.

No

45-49

$936 Vol.

No

50-54

$1,838 Vol.

No

55-59

$657 Vol.

No

60+

$5,523 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 3, 12:00 PM ET and April 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 20-24 posts from Ayatollah Khamenei's official @khamenei_ir account during April 3-10, reflecting real-time monitoring of its steady output of statements amid ongoing regional tensions, consistent with historical patterns of 2-3 posts per active day or bursts around commemorations like Eid al-Fitr. Following Khamenei's martyrdom on February 28 in reported US-Israeli strikes, the account—managed by his office—continues disseminating prior remarks without disruption, locking in the count as the period closes today. A commanding 100% implied probability underscores no recent deviations; only an improbable late surge of 10+ posts on April 10 could shift toward 30-34, though typical cadence makes this unlikely absent major announcements.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 3, 12:00 PM ET and April 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$23,883
End Date
Apr 10, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 31, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 3, 12:00 PM ET and April 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 3, 12:00 PM ET and April 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 20-24 posts from Ayatollah Khamenei's official @khamenei_ir account during April 3-10, reflecting real-time monitoring of its steady output of statements amid ongoing regional tensions, consistent with historical patterns of 2-3 posts per active day or bursts around commemorations like Eid al-Fitr. Following Khamenei's martyrdom on February 28 in reported US-Israeli strikes, the account—managed by his office—continues disseminating prior remarks without disruption, locking in the count as the period closes today. A commanding 100% implied probability underscores no recent deviations; only an improbable late surge of 10+ posts on April 10 could shift toward 30-34, though typical cadence makes this unlikely absent major announcements.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 3, 12:00 PM ET and April 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$23,883
End Date
Apr 10, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 31, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 3, 12:00 PM ET and April 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Khamenei # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 13 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "20-24" at 100%, followed by "<5" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Khamenei # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?" has generated $23.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 31, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Khamenei # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?," browse the 13 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Khamenei # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?" is "20-24" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "<5" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Khamenei # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.