Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, Iran's Supreme Leader until his assassination in US-Israeli airstrikes on February 28, 2026, has seen his official X account @khamenei_ir post zero times from April 24 to May 1, locking in trader consensus at 100% for under 5 posts as the market nears resolution at 12:00 PM ET today. The account's bio now describes him as the "martyred Leader of the Islamic Revolution," signaling permanent inactivity for new statements amid ongoing mourning rallies, including gatherings at his martyrdom site around April 25-26. His successor, Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei, uses a separate verified account for communications. Only a sudden surge of memorial or archival posts before deadline could challenge this, though none have appeared despite recent national observances.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedKhamenei # posts April 24 - May 1, 2026?
<5 100.0%
5-9 <1%
10-14 <1%
15-19 <1%
$21,630 Vol.
$21,630 Vol.
<5
Yes
5-9
No
10-14
No
15-19
No
20-24
No
25-29
No
30-34
No
35-39
No
40-44
No
45-49
No
50-54
No
55-59
No
60+
No
<5 100.0%
5-9 <1%
10-14 <1%
15-19 <1%
$21,630 Vol.
$21,630 Vol.
<5
Yes
5-9
No
10-14
No
15-19
No
20-24
No
25-29
No
30-34
No
35-39
No
40-44
No
45-49
No
50-54
No
55-59
No
60+
No
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Apr 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, Iran's Supreme Leader until his assassination in US-Israeli airstrikes on February 28, 2026, has seen his official X account @khamenei_ir post zero times from April 24 to May 1, locking in trader consensus at 100% for under 5 posts as the market nears resolution at 12:00 PM ET today. The account's bio now describes him as the "martyred Leader of the Islamic Revolution," signaling permanent inactivity for new statements amid ongoing mourning rallies, including gatherings at his martyrdom site around April 25-26. His successor, Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei, uses a separate verified account for communications. Only a sudden surge of memorial or archival posts before deadline could challenge this, though none have appeared despite recent national observances.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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