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icon for Khamenei # posts April 24 - May 1, 2026?

Khamenei # posts April 24 - May 1, 2026?

icon for Khamenei # posts April 24 - May 1, 2026?

Khamenei # posts April 24 - May 1, 2026?

<5 100.0%

5-9 <1%

10-14 <1%

15-19 <1%

Polymarket

$21,630 Vol.

<5 100.0%

5-9 <1%

10-14 <1%

15-19 <1%

Polymarket

$21,630 Vol.

<5

$11,139 Vol.

Yes

5-9

$669 Vol.

No

10-14

$1,421 Vol.

No

15-19

$2,105 Vol.

No

20-24

$807 Vol.

No

25-29

$726 Vol.

No

30-34

$550 Vol.

No

35-39

$1,140 Vol.

No

40-44

$432 Vol.

No

45-49

$432 Vol.

No

50-54

$373 Vol.

No

55-59

$1,004 Vol.

No

60+

$832 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 24, 12:00 PM ET and May 1, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, Iran's Supreme Leader until his assassination in US-Israeli airstrikes on February 28, 2026, has seen his official X account @khamenei_ir post zero times from April 24 to May 1, locking in trader consensus at 100% for under 5 posts as the market nears resolution at 12:00 PM ET today. The account's bio now describes him as the "martyred Leader of the Islamic Revolution," signaling permanent inactivity for new statements amid ongoing mourning rallies, including gatherings at his martyrdom site around April 25-26. His successor, Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei, uses a separate verified account for communications. Only a sudden surge of memorial or archival posts before deadline could challenge this, though none have appeared despite recent national observances.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 24, 12:00 PM ET and May 1, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$21,630
End Date
May 1, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 24, 12:00 PM ET and May 1, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 24, 12:00 PM ET and May 1, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, Iran's Supreme Leader until his assassination in US-Israeli airstrikes on February 28, 2026, has seen his official X account @khamenei_ir post zero times from April 24 to May 1, locking in trader consensus at 100% for under 5 posts as the market nears resolution at 12:00 PM ET today. The account's bio now describes him as the "martyred Leader of the Islamic Revolution," signaling permanent inactivity for new statements amid ongoing mourning rallies, including gatherings at his martyrdom site around April 25-26. His successor, Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei, uses a separate verified account for communications. Only a sudden surge of memorial or archival posts before deadline could challenge this, though none have appeared despite recent national observances.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 24, 12:00 PM ET and May 1, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$21,630
End Date
May 1, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 24, 12:00 PM ET and May 1, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Khamenei # posts April 24 - May 1, 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 13 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "<5" at 100%, followed by "5-9" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Khamenei # posts April 24 - May 1, 2026?" has generated $21.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 21, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Khamenei # posts April 24 - May 1, 2026?," browse the 13 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Khamenei # posts April 24 - May 1, 2026?" is "<5" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "5-9" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Khamenei # posts April 24 - May 1, 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.