Vice President JD Vance arrived in Islamabad, Pakistan, on April 11 to lead a US delegation in direct face-to-face negotiations with Iranian officials, including Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, aimed at solidifying a fragile two-week ceasefire amid US-Israel-Iran hostilities. Iran specifically requested Vance's involvement, citing distrust of other proposed US envoys like Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, marking a significant diplomatic breakthrough hosted by Pakistan. Traders should monitor ongoing talks this weekend for progress on de-escalation, potential sticking points like Iran's 10-point plan interpretations, and risks of breakdown from recent Strait of Hormuz tensions or military actions that could derail the process.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedJD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by...?
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by...?
$2,497,861 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
March 31
No
April 10
No
April 11
Yes
April 12
Yes
April 13
Yes
April 14
Yes
April 15
Yes
April 30
Yes
$2,497,861 Vol.
March 31
$159,049 Vol.
No
April 10
$1,347,701 Vol.
No
April 11
$137,436 Vol.
Yes
April 12
$27,324 Vol.
Yes
April 13
$20,539 Vol.
Yes
April 14
$10,566 Vol.
Yes
April 15
$16,916 Vol.
Yes
April 30
$778,330 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between JD Vance as representative of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Vice President JD Vance arrived in Islamabad, Pakistan, on April 11 to lead a US delegation in direct face-to-face negotiations with Iranian officials, including Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, aimed at solidifying a fragile two-week ceasefire amid US-Israel-Iran hostilities. Iran specifically requested Vance's involvement, citing distrust of other proposed US envoys like Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, marking a significant diplomatic breakthrough hosted by Pakistan. Traders should monitor ongoing talks this weekend for progress on de-escalation, potential sticking points like Iran's 10-point plan interpretations, and risks of breakdown from recent Strait of Hormuz tensions or military actions that could derail the process.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between JD Vance as representative of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
Volume
$2,497,861End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between JD Vance as representative of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Vice President JD Vance arrived in Islamabad, Pakistan, on April 11 to lead a US delegation in direct face-to-face negotiations with Iranian officials, including Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, aimed at solidifying a fragile two-week ceasefire amid US-Israel-Iran hostilities. Iran specifically requested Vance's involvement, citing distrust of other proposed US envoys like Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, marking a significant diplomatic breakthrough hosted by Pakistan. Traders should monitor ongoing talks this weekend for progress on de-escalation, potential sticking points like Iran's 10-point plan interpretations, and risks of breakdown from recent Strait of Hormuz tensions or military actions that could derail the process.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between JD Vance as representative of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$2,497,861End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Vice President JD Vance arrived in Islamabad, Pakistan, on April 11 to lead a US delegation in direct face-to-face negotiations with Iranian officials, including Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, aimed at solidifying a fragile two-week ceasefire amid US-Israel-Iran hostilities. Iran specifically requested Vance's involvement, citing distrust of other proposed US envoys like Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, marking a significant diplomatic breakthrough hosted by Pakistan. Traders should monitor ongoing talks this weekend for progress on de-escalation, potential sticking points like Iran's 10-point plan interpretations, and risks of breakdown from recent Strait of Hormuz tensions or military actions that could derail the process.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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