Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and 𝕏 could not.

Market icon

Israel x Egypt sever diplomatic relations before July?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$98,662 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if either Israel or Egypt formally announces that they have suspended diplomatic relations with with the other by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Israeli or Egyptian government, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$98,662
End Date
Jun 30, 2025
Created At
Feb 12, 2025, 4:40 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if either Israel or Egypt formally announces that they have suspended diplomatic relations with with the other by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from the Israeli or Egyptian government, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and 𝕏 could not.

Market icon

Israel x Egypt sever diplomatic relations before July?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$98,662 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if either Israel or Egypt formally announces that they have suspended diplomatic relations with with the other by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Israeli or Egyptian government, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$98,662
End Date
Jun 30, 2025
Created At
Feb 12, 2025, 4:40 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if either Israel or Egypt formally announces that they have suspended diplomatic relations with with the other by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from the Israeli or Egyptian government, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.