Recent polling averages place the Religious Zionism–Zehut technical bloc at roughly 5–7 Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election, aligning with the market’s emphasis on 6–7 seats. The September alliance between Bezalel Smotrich’s Religious Zionist Party and Moshe Feiglin’s Zehut consolidated fragmented right-wing support to clear the 3.25% threshold, with the joint list benefiting from Likud vote-sharing arrangements. Multiple October surveys from outlets including Channel 12, Kan 11, and Channel 14 show the bloc holding steady in the mid-single digits, while competing right-wing lists and new entrants continue to split overlapping voter bases. Trader consensus reflects this narrow band of recent results rather than wider historical swings for the component parties.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedView resolved

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