Recent polling averages place Ra'am, running separately under Mansour Abbas, at a steady five Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election, with most surveys showing the party between four and six mandates. This range reflects consistent Arab-sector turnout patterns and limited movement since party lists were finalized in early September, as the Joint List (Hadash-Ta’al-Balad) draws the bulk of remaining Arab votes. Traders see the outcome hinging on final-week mobilization efforts, any last-minute shifts in undecided Arab voters, and whether minor fluctuations in overall turnout push Ra’am across the 3.25% threshold or allow modest gains. Historical precedent for Arab parties shows sensitivity to these factors in the closing stretch, keeping the 4-, 5-, and 6-seat probabilities tightly clustered.