Recent polls ahead of Israel's October 27 Knesset election place Otzma Yehudit, led by National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir, in a narrow band of roughly 6–9 seats, with averages near 7–8 across multiple surveys. This range reflects the party's stable but limited base within the broader right-religious camp, where competition for votes from Likud, Religious Zionism–Zehut, and Shas remains intense. Ben-Gvir's recent calls for the Defense portfolio have coincided with modest polling gains in some surveys, yet overall bloc totals for the outgoing coalition hover around 50–55 seats without a clear majority. Attempts to disqualify the party were rejected by the Central Elections Committee. With three weeks remaining, small shifts in turnout among religious Zionist or security-focused voters, or last-minute bloc realignments, could move the final seat count between the closely priced 6–7 and 8–9 outcomes.
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