Recent polling averages place the Joint List of Arab parties near 8 seats ahead of Israel's October 27 election, with most surveys showing results between 7 and 9 mandates amid stable overall support for Arab lists totaling around 13 seats. The close contest between the 6-7 and 8-9 seat ranges stems from consistent voter trends in Arab communities, competition with Ra'am, and limited recent shifts in turnout or preference patterns despite ongoing bloc realignments between Likud-led and opposition groups. Court rulings on eligibility challenges and final campaign mobilization efforts could still adjust the outcome within the resolution window.
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