Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and 𝕏 could not.

Market icon

Israel election called before July?

Market icon

Israel election called before July?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$6,449 Vol.

>99% chance
Polymarket

$6,449 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next Israeli legislative election is declared between June 9, and June 30, 2024, 11:59 PM Israel Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe (e.g., if on June 25, 2024, an election is scheduled for September 25, 2024, this market will resolve to "Yes").

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$6,449
End Date
Jun 30, 2024
Market Opened
Jun 10, 2024, 11:41 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next Israeli legislative election is declared between June 9, and June 30, 2024, 11:59 PM Israel Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe (e.g., if on June 25, 2024, an election is scheduled for September 25, 2024, this market will resolve to "Yes"). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next Israeli legislative election is declared between June 9, and June 30, 2024, 11:59 PM Israel Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe (e.g., if on June 25, 2024, an election is scheduled for September 25, 2024, this market will resolve to "Yes").

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$6,449
End Date
Jun 30, 2024
Market Opened
Jun 10, 2024, 11:41 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next Israeli legislative election is declared between June 9, and June 30, 2024, 11:59 PM Israel Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe (e.g., if on June 25, 2024, an election is scheduled for September 25, 2024, this market will resolve to "Yes"). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Israel election called before July?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Israel election called before July?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 10, 2024. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Israel election called before July?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Israel election called before July?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Israel election called before July?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.