Blue and White, led by Benny Gantz, remains well below the 3.25% Knesset threshold in nearly every recent poll ahead of the October 27 election, with averages near 0.8% and consistent readings under 1.3%. This positioning stems from center-left vote fragmentation among parties such as Yashar, B’Yachad, and The Democrats, plus competition from newer lists that have drawn support away from established centrist options. Gantz has publicly committed to completing the campaign despite the numbers, rejecting withdrawal calls and framing the run as essential for national unity. Traders price the lowest bins highest because no late polling surge or coalition realignment has materialized in the final weeks, though modest shifts in turnout or last-minute endorsements could still alter the precise share within the sub-2% range.