Iran's April 30 deadline to publicly agree to end all uranium enrichment passed without any such announcement, driving trader consensus to 100% "No" as US-Iran nuclear negotiations stalled amid mutual rejections. Recent IAEA reports confirm Iran's continued production of near-weapons-grade uranium at 60% purity, with stockpiles exceeding 11 tons—enough for multiple bombs—despite US proposals for a 20-year moratorium and material transfers, which Tehran dismissed while insisting on its enrichment rights. Ongoing sanctions, diplomatic deadlock, and no verified suspension underscore the impasse, though late-breaking official statements or unverifiable claims could prompt resolution scrutiny. Traders see negligible paths to retroactive "Yes," prioritizing skin-in-the-game assessment of failed talks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
$1,852,007 Vol.
$1,852,007 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
$1,852,007 Vol.
$1,852,007 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Iran's April 30 deadline to publicly agree to end all uranium enrichment passed without any such announcement, driving trader consensus to 100% "No" as US-Iran nuclear negotiations stalled amid mutual rejections. Recent IAEA reports confirm Iran's continued production of near-weapons-grade uranium at 60% purity, with stockpiles exceeding 11 tons—enough for multiple bombs—despite US proposals for a 20-year moratorium and material transfers, which Tehran dismissed while insisting on its enrichment rights. Ongoing sanctions, diplomatic deadlock, and no verified suspension underscore the impasse, though late-breaking official statements or unverifiable claims could prompt resolution scrutiny. Traders see negligible paths to retroactive "Yes," prioritizing skin-in-the-game assessment of failed talks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Mar 6, 2026, 1:26 PM ET
Volume
$1,852,007End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 6, 2026, 1:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Iran's April 30 deadline to publicly agree to end all uranium enrichment passed without any such announcement, driving trader consensus to 100% "No" as US-Iran nuclear negotiations stalled amid mutual rejections. Recent IAEA reports confirm Iran's continued production of near-weapons-grade uranium at 60% purity, with stockpiles exceeding 11 tons—enough for multiple bombs—despite US proposals for a 20-year moratorium and material transfers, which Tehran dismissed while insisting on its enrichment rights. Ongoing sanctions, diplomatic deadlock, and no verified suspension underscore the impasse, though late-breaking official statements or unverifiable claims could prompt resolution scrutiny. Traders see negligible paths to retroactive "Yes," prioritizing skin-in-the-game assessment of failed talks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,852,007End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 6, 2026, 1:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Iran's April 30 deadline to publicly agree to end all uranium enrichment passed without any such announcement, driving trader consensus to 100% "No" as US-Iran nuclear negotiations stalled amid mutual rejections. Recent IAEA reports confirm Iran's continued production of near-weapons-grade uranium at 60% purity, with stockpiles exceeding 11 tons—enough for multiple bombs—despite US proposals for a 20-year moratorium and material transfers, which Tehran dismissed while insisting on its enrichment rights. Ongoing sanctions, diplomatic deadlock, and no verified suspension underscore the impasse, though late-breaking official statements or unverifiable claims could prompt resolution scrutiny. Traders see negligible paths to retroactive "Yes," prioritizing skin-in-the-game assessment of failed talks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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