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IPOs before 2027?

Market icon

IPOs before 2027?

Dec 31

Dec 31

$5,469,832 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$5,469,832 Vol.

Polymarket
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SpaceX

$481,338 Vol.

96%

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Cerebras

$282,305 Vol.

93%

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Discord

$430,174 Vol.

62%

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WHOOP

$0 Vol.

52%

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Anthropic

$171,993 Vol.

49%

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OpenAI

$197,929 Vol.

42%

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Databricks

$448,996 Vol.

31%

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Applied Intuition

$180,955 Vol.

26%

Market icon

Ledger

$480,445 Vol.

26%

Market icon

Remote

$51,234 Vol.

25%

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SHEIN

$66,754 Vol.

22%

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Anduril

$332,080 Vol.

21%

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Canva

$20,360 Vol.

21%

Market icon

Deel

$117,703 Vol.

21%

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Epic Games

$67,479 Vol.

19%

Market icon

Glean

$42,862 Vol.

19%

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ByteDance

$4,186 Vol.

18%

Market icon

Ramp

$140,465 Vol.

18%

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Celonis

$195,355 Vol.

17%

Market icon

Mistral AI

$137,790 Vol.

16%

Market icon

Anduril Industries

$20,819 Vol.

16%

Market icon

Vanta

$115,954 Vol.

15%

Market icon

Revolut

$40,796 Vol.

15%

Market icon

Rippling

$99,933 Vol.

15%

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Fannie Mae

$151,064 Vol.

15%

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Ripple Labs

$133,711 Vol.

14%

Market icon

Freddie Mac

$225,488 Vol.

14%

Market icon

Anysphere (Cursor)

$90,602 Vol.

14%

Market icon

Stripe

$234,562 Vol.

13%

Market icon

Waymo

$23,229 Vol.

12%

Market icon

Brex

$122,609 Vol.

4%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No". This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If the listed company undergoes a merger, this will only qualify for a “No” resolution if the transaction results in the listed company being fully absorbed, dissolved, or otherwise no longer capable of independently conducting an Initial Public Offering. Transactions in which the listed company continues as a parent or successor will not alone qualify for a “No” resolution. This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns over 94% implied probability to SpaceX and Cerebras completing IPOs before 2027, fueled by SpaceX's confidential SEC filing last week targeting a June roadshow at a potential $1.75 trillion valuation and Cerebras tapping Morgan Stanley for a Q2 listing amid its AI chip momentum with Oracle partnerships. Discord holds steady at 62% following its January confidential filing, while Anthropic and OpenAI hover around 45-50% post-massive funding rounds signaling late-2026 preparations. This reflects bankers' reports of a blockbuster 2026 pipeline for AI, space, and enterprise tech giants, though SEC reviews, market volatility, and acquisition risks could delay outcomes—watch SpaceX's early June investor pitches and Cerebras' S-1 progress for near-term catalysts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.

If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".

This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$5,469,832
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 12, 2025, 4:27 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No". This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No". This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If the listed company undergoes a merger, this will only qualify for a “No” resolution if the transaction results in the listed company being fully absorbed, dissolved, or otherwise no longer capable of independently conducting an Initial Public Offering. Transactions in which the listed company continues as a parent or successor will not alone qualify for a “No” resolution. This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns over 94% implied probability to SpaceX and Cerebras completing IPOs before 2027, fueled by SpaceX's confidential SEC filing last week targeting a June roadshow at a potential $1.75 trillion valuation and Cerebras tapping Morgan Stanley for a Q2 listing amid its AI chip momentum with Oracle partnerships. Discord holds steady at 62% following its January confidential filing, while Anthropic and OpenAI hover around 45-50% post-massive funding rounds signaling late-2026 preparations. This reflects bankers' reports of a blockbuster 2026 pipeline for AI, space, and enterprise tech giants, though SEC reviews, market volatility, and acquisition risks could delay outcomes—watch SpaceX's early June investor pitches and Cerebras' S-1 progress for near-term catalysts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.

If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".

This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$5,469,832
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 12, 2025, 4:27 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No". This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"IPOs before 2027?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 34 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Once Upon a Farm" at 100%, followed by "Wealthfront" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "IPOs before 2027?" has generated $5.5 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 12, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "IPOs before 2027?," browse the 34 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "IPOs before 2027?" is "Once Upon a Farm" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Wealthfront" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "IPOs before 2027?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.