Polymarket traders' unanimous 100% implied probability on Infosys (INFY) beating Q4 FY26 quarterly earnings reflects the company's official April 23 release confirming GAAP EPS of $0.23, exceeding the $0.21 consensus threshold by roughly 10%. This beat stems from revenue of $5.04 billion topping $4.99 billion estimates—up 4.1% year-over-year in constant currency—alongside a 21% YoY net profit surge to ₹8,501 crore, propelled by $3.2 billion in Q4 large deals (full-year $14.9 billion) and AI services now at 5.5% of revenue. Tail risks remain negligible, limited to rare accounting revisions or resolution disputes, as FY27 guidance of 1.5%-3.5% constant-currency growth underscores steady demand despite muted stock reaction.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$8,889 Vol.
$8,889 Vol.
Apr 23, 2026
$8,889 Vol.
$8,889 Vol.
Apr 23, 2026
As of market creation, Infosys is estimated to release earnings on April 23, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Infosys's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.21 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Infosys reports GAAP EPS greater than $0.21 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If Infosys releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Polymarket traders' unanimous 100% implied probability on Infosys (INFY) beating Q4 FY26 quarterly earnings reflects the company's official April 23 release confirming GAAP EPS of $0.23, exceeding the $0.21 consensus threshold by roughly 10%. This beat stems from revenue of $5.04 billion topping $4.99 billion estimates—up 4.1% year-over-year in constant currency—alongside a 21% YoY net profit surge to ₹8,501 crore, propelled by $3.2 billion in Q4 large deals (full-year $14.9 billion) and AI services now at 5.5% of revenue. Tail risks remain negligible, limited to rare accounting revisions or resolution disputes, as FY27 guidance of 1.5%-3.5% constant-currency growth underscores steady demand despite muted stock reaction.
As of market creation, Infosys is estimated to release earnings on April 23, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Infosys's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.21 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Infosys reports GAAP EPS greater than $0.21 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If Infosys releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
If Infosys releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Market Opened: Apr 10, 2026, 4:53 PM ET
Volume
$8,889End Date
Apr 23, 2026Market Opened
Apr 10, 2026, 4:53 PM ETResolution Source
https://seekingalpha.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
As of market creation, Infosys is estimated to release earnings on April 23, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Infosys's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.21 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Infosys reports GAAP EPS greater than $0.21 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If Infosys releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Polymarket traders' unanimous 100% implied probability on Infosys (INFY) beating Q4 FY26 quarterly earnings reflects the company's official April 23 release confirming GAAP EPS of $0.23, exceeding the $0.21 consensus threshold by roughly 10%. This beat stems from revenue of $5.04 billion topping $4.99 billion estimates—up 4.1% year-over-year in constant currency—alongside a 21% YoY net profit surge to ₹8,501 crore, propelled by $3.2 billion in Q4 large deals (full-year $14.9 billion) and AI services now at 5.5% of revenue. Tail risks remain negligible, limited to rare accounting revisions or resolution disputes, as FY27 guidance of 1.5%-3.5% constant-currency growth underscores steady demand despite muted stock reaction.
As of market creation, Infosys is estimated to release earnings on April 23, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Infosys's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.21 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Infosys reports GAAP EPS greater than $0.21 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If Infosys releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
If Infosys releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Volume
$8,889End Date
Apr 23, 2026Market Opened
Apr 10, 2026, 4:53 PM ETResolution Source
https://seekingalpha.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Polymarket traders' unanimous 100% implied probability on Infosys (INFY) beating Q4 FY26 quarterly earnings reflects the company's official April 23 release confirming GAAP EPS of $0.23, exceeding the $0.21 consensus threshold by roughly 10%. This beat stems from revenue of $5.04 billion topping $4.99 billion estimates—up 4.1% year-over-year in constant currency—alongside a 21% YoY net profit surge to ₹8,501 crore, propelled by $3.2 billion in Q4 large deals (full-year $14.9 billion) and AI services now at 5.5% of revenue. Tail risks remain negligible, limited to rare accounting revisions or resolution disputes, as FY27 guidance of 1.5%-3.5% constant-currency growth underscores steady demand despite muted stock reaction.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions