**Iranian parliamentary law and official statements continue to bar IAEA inspectors from the damaged enrichment facilities at Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan following 2025 U.S.-Israeli strikes, with access conditioned on new procedures or a final bilateral agreement.** The agency has maintained no on-site verification at these three sites since the attacks, leaving the status of remaining 60%-enriched uranium stockpiles unconfirmed despite satellite imagery and earlier estimates. An interim U.S.-Iran understanding referenced IAEA monitoring, yet Iranian officials have tied any visits to broader talks on sanctions and enrichment limits, with no firm timeline established as of October 2026. IAEA Director General Rafael Grossi has publicly urged urgent access while noting ongoing diplomatic contacts, and the agency’s September board resolution referred Iran to the UN Security Council over safeguards noncompliance. These structural and political constraints shape trader views on near-term inspection prospects amid stalled negotiations.
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