The March 31, 2026, deadline for Howard Lutnick to depart as Secretary of Commerce has passed without any resignation, dismissal, or official announcement of his removal, driving trader consensus to price "No" at 100% as the market nears resolution. Confirmed by the Senate in a 51-45 vote on February 18, 2025, Lutnick has remained in the role through recent cabinet meetings and Department of Commerce activities, including trade policy engagements. Despite calls for his resignation in February and March 2026 from lawmakers and advocacy groups citing alleged business conflicts and past Epstein associations, the Trump administration has shown no signs of action. Only an extraordinary retroactive revelation, such as a pre-deadline resignation undisclosed until now, could theoretically challenge this outcome, though such scenarios are highly improbable given official records.