Market icon

How many people will Trump deport in 2025?

250-500k 87.3%

<250k 3.4%

500-750k 2.1%

750k-1m 1.4%

Polymarket

$9,839,953 Vol.

During the 2024 FY ICE removed 271,484 non citizens (see: https://www.ice.gov/doclib/eoy/iceAnnualReportFY2024.pdf).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) removes between 500,000 (inclusive) and 750,000 (exclusive) non citizens in the 2025 fiscal year. Otherwise, this market ill resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the FY 2025 ICE Annual Report. If the FY 2025 ICE Annual Report is not published by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used.
Volume
$9,839,953
End Date
Dec 31, 2025
Created At
Jan 5, 2025, 2:47 PM ET
During the 2024 FY ICE removed 271,484 non citizens (see: https://www.ice.gov/doclib/eoy/iceAnnualReportFY2024.pdf). This market will resolve to "Yes" if U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) removes between 500,000 (inclusive) and 750,000 (exclusive) non citizens in the 2025 fiscal year. Otherwise, this market ill resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the FY 2025 ICE Annual Report. If the FY 2025 ICE Annual Report is not published by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used.

Beware of external links.

Market icon

How many people will Trump deport in 2025?

250-500k 87.3%

<250k 3.4%

500-750k 2.1%

750k-1m 1.4%

Polymarket

$9,839,953 Vol.

<250k

$1,105,786 Vol.

3%

250-500k

$5,682,713 Vol.

87%

500-750k

$507,009 Vol.

2%

750k-1m

$495,574 Vol.

1%

1-1.25m

$488,351 Vol.

<1%

1.25-1.5m

$412,163 Vol.

<1%

1.5-1.75m

$424,027 Vol.

<1%

1.75-2m

$352,716 Vol.

<1%

2m+

$371,616 Vol.

<1%

Beware of external links.