**Taylor Fritz’s third-round exit at the 2026 US Open produced exactly 5,500 Chipotle BOGO codes, locking in the 5,500–8,999 outcome as the overwhelming market favorite at 90.5%.** The promotion awarded escalating BOGO entrée offers tied directly to Fritz’s men’s singles wins: 2,500 after round 1, 3,000 after round 2, 3,500 after round 3, and larger caps in later rounds up to 10,000 for a final. Fritz defeated Darwin Blanch in the first round and Mattia Bellucci in the second before falling to Francisco Cerundolo in five sets in the third round, capping the total at 5,500 codes distributed via his Instagram Story text-to-win mechanism. Trader consensus reflects this confirmed result, with the narrow band around 5,500 standing far ahead of ranges that would have required deeper advancement. The only realistic shifts would have involved Fritz reaching the round of 16 or beyond (pushing totals into higher brackets) or an unannounced additional code drop, neither of which occurred. The market’s pricing therefore mirrors the straightforward outcome of Fritz’s actual 2-1 tournament run.