Recent meteorological data and forecast models from official Chinese weather services show Wuhan under cooler-than-normal autumn conditions, with daytime highs firmly capped at or below 26°C on September 9. This strong consensus drives the market-implied odds of 100% for 26°C or below, reflecting verified surface observations, regional pressure patterns, and ensemble model agreement that limit warming potential. Historical September averages for the city hover near 28–30°C, making the current suppression notable. While forecast uncertainty remains small this close to resolution, an unexpected late-day surge or localized measurement anomaly could theoretically shift the outcome, though such scenarios lack support in current guidance.