Current observational data from Wuhan Tianhe International Airport meteorological stations show midday temperatures reaching 28°C under partly cloudy skies and humid conditions with light southerly winds, aligning with forecast models from sources like AccuWeather projecting a daily high of 31°C. This trajectory, combined with stable high-pressure influence and minimal precipitation risk, drives the market-implied 100% probability for 31°C, reflecting trader consensus on skin-in-the-game data amid May's typical warming trend where highs average 27–28°C but fluctuate. Scenarios challenging this include unexpected convective showers or increased cloud cover in the afternoon, potentially capping the peak at 30°C; official China Meteorological Administration readings will finalize resolution by day's end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on May 11?
31°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$46,064 Vol.
$46,064 Vol.
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$46,064 Vol.
$46,064 Vol.
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 9, 2026, 4:54 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Current observational data from Wuhan Tianhe International Airport meteorological stations show midday temperatures reaching 28°C under partly cloudy skies and humid conditions with light southerly winds, aligning with forecast models from sources like AccuWeather projecting a daily high of 31°C. This trajectory, combined with stable high-pressure influence and minimal precipitation risk, drives the market-implied 100% probability for 31°C, reflecting trader consensus on skin-in-the-game data amid May's typical warming trend where highs average 27–28°C but fluctuate. Scenarios challenging this include unexpected convective showers or increased cloud cover in the afternoon, potentially capping the peak at 30°C; official China Meteorological Administration readings will finalize resolution by day's end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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