Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies indicate a maximum temperature of 35°C for Wuhan on August 21, supported by consistent numerical weather prediction models showing stable high-pressure conditions and minimal cloud cover that favor daytime heating. Historical August baselines for the region average around 32–34°C, with this outcome aligning closely to recent observational trends and ensemble model consensus. Trader positioning at 100% implied probability reflects high confidence in these data-driven projections ahead of final daily readings. Uncertainties remain from potential microscale variations in urban heat islands or last-minute model adjustments, though such shifts would need to exceed typical forecast error margins to alter the result.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on August 21?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on August 21?
35°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$36,962 Vol.
$36,962 Vol.
Aug 21, 2026
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
35°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$36,962 Vol.
$36,962 Vol.
Aug 21, 2026
29°C or below
$552 Vol.
No
30°C
$809 Vol.
No
31°C
$3,212 Vol.
No
32°C
$1,459 Vol.
No
33°C
$3,129 Vol.
No
34°C
$3,792 Vol.
No
35°C
$7,299 Vol.
Yes
36°C
$6,542 Vol.
No
37°C
$4,733 Vol.
No
38°C
$3,656 Vol.
No
39°C or higher
$1,779 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies indicate a maximum temperature of 35°C for Wuhan on August 21, supported by consistent numerical weather prediction models showing stable high-pressure conditions and minimal cloud cover that favor daytime heating. Historical August baselines for the region average around 32–34°C, with this outcome aligning closely to recent observational trends and ensemble model consensus. Trader positioning at 100% implied probability reflects high confidence in these data-driven projections ahead of final daily readings. Uncertainties remain from potential microscale variations in urban heat islands or last-minute model adjustments, though such shifts would need to exceed typical forecast error margins to alter the result.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$36,962End Date
Aug 21, 2026Market Opened
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies indicate a maximum temperature of 35°C for Wuhan on August 21, supported by consistent numerical weather prediction models showing stable high-pressure conditions and minimal cloud cover that favor daytime heating. Historical August baselines for the region average around 32–34°C, with this outcome aligning closely to recent observational trends and ensemble model consensus. Trader positioning at 100% implied probability reflects high confidence in these data-driven projections ahead of final daily readings. Uncertainties remain from potential microscale variations in urban heat islands or last-minute model adjustments, though such shifts would need to exceed typical forecast error margins to alter the result.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$36,962End Date
Aug 21, 2026Market Opened
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies indicate a maximum temperature of 35°C for Wuhan on August 21, supported by consistent numerical weather prediction models showing stable high-pressure conditions and minimal cloud cover that favor daytime heating. Historical August baselines for the region average around 32–34°C, with this outcome aligning closely to recent observational trends and ensemble model consensus. Trader positioning at 100% implied probability reflects high confidence in these data-driven projections ahead of final daily readings. Uncertainties remain from potential microscale variations in urban heat islands or last-minute model adjustments, though such shifts would need to exceed typical forecast error margins to alter the result.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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