Current forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a maximum temperature of 29°C in Wuhan on August 10, 2026, aligning with observed conditions of partly cloudy skies, moderate northerly winds, and morning readings near 26°C. This positions the market-implied odds at near-certainty for the 29°C outcome, reflecting consistent model consensus and real-time observations rather than historical August averages that often exceed 32°C. Traders' strong consensus draws from skin-in-the-game assessment of stable steering patterns and limited daytime heating potential under the prevailing setup. Scenarios that could challenge this include unexpected cloud clearance boosting insolation or a late surge in humidity-driven heat retention, though current data show low probability of exceeding the threshold before evening cooling begins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on August 10?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on August 10?
29°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$89,692 Vol.
$89,692 Vol.
Aug 10, 2026
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$89,692 Vol.
$89,692 Vol.
Aug 10, 2026
26°C or below
$1,796 Vol.
No
27°C
$9,378 Vol.
No
28°C
$9,921 Vol.
No
29°C
$22,759 Vol.
Yes
30°C
$10,991 Vol.
No
31°C
$8,014 Vol.
No
32°C
$6,439 Vol.
No
33°C
$7,400 Vol.
No
34°C
$4,529 Vol.
No
35°C
$3,096 Vol.
No
36°C or higher
$5,370 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a maximum temperature of 29°C in Wuhan on August 10, 2026, aligning with observed conditions of partly cloudy skies, moderate northerly winds, and morning readings near 26°C. This positions the market-implied odds at near-certainty for the 29°C outcome, reflecting consistent model consensus and real-time observations rather than historical August averages that often exceed 32°C. Traders' strong consensus draws from skin-in-the-game assessment of stable steering patterns and limited daytime heating potential under the prevailing setup. Scenarios that could challenge this include unexpected cloud clearance boosting insolation or a late surge in humidity-driven heat retention, though current data show low probability of exceeding the threshold before evening cooling begins.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$89,692End Date
Aug 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a maximum temperature of 29°C in Wuhan on August 10, 2026, aligning with observed conditions of partly cloudy skies, moderate northerly winds, and morning readings near 26°C. This positions the market-implied odds at near-certainty for the 29°C outcome, reflecting consistent model consensus and real-time observations rather than historical August averages that often exceed 32°C. Traders' strong consensus draws from skin-in-the-game assessment of stable steering patterns and limited daytime heating potential under the prevailing setup. Scenarios that could challenge this include unexpected cloud clearance boosting insolation or a late surge in humidity-driven heat retention, though current data show low probability of exceeding the threshold before evening cooling begins.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$89,692End Date
Aug 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Current forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a maximum temperature of 29°C in Wuhan on August 10, 2026, aligning with observed conditions of partly cloudy skies, moderate northerly winds, and morning readings near 26°C. This positions the market-implied odds at near-certainty for the 29°C outcome, reflecting consistent model consensus and real-time observations rather than historical August averages that often exceed 32°C. Traders' strong consensus draws from skin-in-the-game assessment of stable steering patterns and limited daytime heating potential under the prevailing setup. Scenarios that could challenge this include unexpected cloud clearance boosting insolation or a late surge in humidity-driven heat retention, though current data show low probability of exceeding the threshold before evening cooling begins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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