Recent forecasts from Polish meteorological services and international models indicate daytime highs in Warsaw reaching or exceeding 25°C on August 20, driven by warm air advection under partly cloudy conditions with limited precipitation. Official temperature observations throughout the day, including afternoon peaks near 24–25°C at monitoring stations, align with this consensus, reflecting typical late-summer climatology where Warsaw averages around 23°C but can spike higher under stable high-pressure patterns. Trader positioning at near-certainty for 25°C or above reflects real-time model agreement and in-situ measurements, though a sudden increase in cloud cover or localized cooling could keep the official maximum below this threshold. Updated agency reports later today will confirm the final daily high for market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Warsaw on August 20?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on August 20?
25°C or higher 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$30,079 Vol.
$30,079 Vol.
Aug 20, 2026
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
Yes
25°C or higher 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$30,079 Vol.
$30,079 Vol.
Aug 20, 2026
15°C or below
$191 Vol.
No
16°C
$191 Vol.
No
17°C
$309 Vol.
No
18°C
$419 Vol.
No
19°C
$509 Vol.
No
20°C
$555 Vol.
No
21°C
$1,292 Vol.
No
22°C
$3,423 Vol.
No
23°C
$8,618 Vol.
No
24°C
$8,242 Vol.
No
25°C or higher
$6,332 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Polish meteorological services and international models indicate daytime highs in Warsaw reaching or exceeding 25°C on August 20, driven by warm air advection under partly cloudy conditions with limited precipitation. Official temperature observations throughout the day, including afternoon peaks near 24–25°C at monitoring stations, align with this consensus, reflecting typical late-summer climatology where Warsaw averages around 23°C but can spike higher under stable high-pressure patterns. Trader positioning at near-certainty for 25°C or above reflects real-time model agreement and in-situ measurements, though a sudden increase in cloud cover or localized cooling could keep the official maximum below this threshold. Updated agency reports later today will confirm the final daily high for market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$30,079End Date
Aug 20, 2026Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Polish meteorological services and international models indicate daytime highs in Warsaw reaching or exceeding 25°C on August 20, driven by warm air advection under partly cloudy conditions with limited precipitation. Official temperature observations throughout the day, including afternoon peaks near 24–25°C at monitoring stations, align with this consensus, reflecting typical late-summer climatology where Warsaw averages around 23°C but can spike higher under stable high-pressure patterns. Trader positioning at near-certainty for 25°C or above reflects real-time model agreement and in-situ measurements, though a sudden increase in cloud cover or localized cooling could keep the official maximum below this threshold. Updated agency reports later today will confirm the final daily high for market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$30,079End Date
Aug 20, 2026Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent forecasts from Polish meteorological services and international models indicate daytime highs in Warsaw reaching or exceeding 25°C on August 20, driven by warm air advection under partly cloudy conditions with limited precipitation. Official temperature observations throughout the day, including afternoon peaks near 24–25°C at monitoring stations, align with this consensus, reflecting typical late-summer climatology where Warsaw averages around 23°C but can spike higher under stable high-pressure patterns. Trader positioning at near-certainty for 25°C or above reflects real-time model agreement and in-situ measurements, though a sudden increase in cloud cover or localized cooling could keep the official maximum below this threshold. Updated agency reports later today will confirm the final daily high for market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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