Traders overwhelmingly favor 34°C as Tel Aviv’s daily maximum on August 10 because operational forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and supporting global models project this value as the most likely peak under prevailing high-pressure conditions. Mid-summer climatology places typical August highs near 31°C, yet current sea-surface temperatures and subsidence patterns support the modest elevation. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, indicating limited forecast uncertainty. Only an unpredicted influx of cooler Mediterranean air or rapid cloud development would realistically shift the outcome outside the 34°C threshold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 10?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 10?
34°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$33,498 Vol.
$33,498 Vol.
Aug 10, 2026
31°C or below
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$33,498 Vol.
$33,498 Vol.
Aug 10, 2026
31°C or below
$1,309 Vol.
No
32°C
$2,335 Vol.
No
33°C
$5,565 Vol.
No
34°C
$10,685 Vol.
Yes
35°C
$5,811 Vol.
No
36°C
$3,044 Vol.
No
37°C
$2,321 Vol.
No
38°C
$725 Vol.
No
39°C
$601 Vol.
No
40°C
$675 Vol.
No
41°C or higher
$426 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders overwhelmingly favor 34°C as Tel Aviv’s daily maximum on August 10 because operational forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and supporting global models project this value as the most likely peak under prevailing high-pressure conditions. Mid-summer climatology places typical August highs near 31°C, yet current sea-surface temperatures and subsidence patterns support the modest elevation. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, indicating limited forecast uncertainty. Only an unpredicted influx of cooler Mediterranean air or rapid cloud development would realistically shift the outcome outside the 34°C threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$33,498End Date
Aug 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders overwhelmingly favor 34°C as Tel Aviv’s daily maximum on August 10 because operational forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and supporting global models project this value as the most likely peak under prevailing high-pressure conditions. Mid-summer climatology places typical August highs near 31°C, yet current sea-surface temperatures and subsidence patterns support the modest elevation. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, indicating limited forecast uncertainty. Only an unpredicted influx of cooler Mediterranean air or rapid cloud development would realistically shift the outcome outside the 34°C threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$33,498End Date
Aug 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Traders overwhelmingly favor 34°C as Tel Aviv’s daily maximum on August 10 because operational forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and supporting global models project this value as the most likely peak under prevailing high-pressure conditions. Mid-summer climatology places typical August highs near 31°C, yet current sea-surface temperatures and subsidence patterns support the modest elevation. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, indicating limited forecast uncertainty. Only an unpredicted influx of cooler Mediterranean air or rapid cloud development would realistically shift the outcome outside the 34°C threshold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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