Central Weather Administration (CWA) observations from Taipei Songshan Airport station confirm the highest temperature on May 9 peaked at 22°C, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on this outcome as the day concluded. Persistent cloud cover and occasional showers, linked to nearby Tropical Storm Hagupit—which posed no direct threat but enhanced moisture and suppressed solar heating—prevented typical May highs around 28–29°C seen in historical climatological data. Verified hourly measurements provide strong evidence, with evening readings dropping to 20°C under partly cloudy skies. Realistic challenges are minimal, requiring an improbable CWA data revision; final daily summary expected soon will solidify resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on May 9?
22°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$112,534 Vol.
$112,534 Vol.
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$112,534 Vol.
$112,534 Vol.
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 7, 2026, 12:17 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Central Weather Administration (CWA) observations from Taipei Songshan Airport station confirm the highest temperature on May 9 peaked at 22°C, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on this outcome as the day concluded. Persistent cloud cover and occasional showers, linked to nearby Tropical Storm Hagupit—which posed no direct threat but enhanced moisture and suppressed solar heating—prevented typical May highs around 28–29°C seen in historical climatological data. Verified hourly measurements provide strong evidence, with evening readings dropping to 20°C under partly cloudy skies. Realistic challenges are minimal, requiring an improbable CWA data revision; final daily summary expected soon will solidify resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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