Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration project a daytime maximum of 23–26 °C in Taipei on June 11, with real-time station observations and model consensus centering on 24 °C. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and northeasterly monsoon flow have suppressed surface heating, keeping temperatures well below the June climatological average near 30–33 °C. This narrow range underpins the market’s 100 % implied probability for 24 °C as the day’s peak. A rapid clearing of skies or stronger insolation could push readings higher, while heavier rainfall or a shift in steering winds might hold the maximum at 23 °C or below; updated Central Weather Administration guidance and afternoon observations will determine final resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on June 11?
24°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$75,743 Vol.
$75,743 Vol.
23°C or below
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$75,743 Vol.
$75,743 Vol.
23°C or below
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration project a daytime maximum of 23–26 °C in Taipei on June 11, with real-time station observations and model consensus centering on 24 °C. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and northeasterly monsoon flow have suppressed surface heating, keeping temperatures well below the June climatological average near 30–33 °C. This narrow range underpins the market’s 100 % implied probability for 24 °C as the day’s peak. A rapid clearing of skies or stronger insolation could push readings higher, while heavier rainfall or a shift in steering winds might hold the maximum at 23 °C or below; updated Central Weather Administration guidance and afternoon observations will determine final resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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