Central Weather Administration forecasts project daytime maxima of 31–35°C across Taipei on August 8, aligning with long-term August climatology of 32–34°C highs sustained by the subtropical ridge, elevated humidity, and urban heat retention. Peripheral rain bands from Typhoon Dolphin may introduce cloud cover and scattered showers, yet model consensus indicates limited cooling potential that would still keep the daily peak well above 32°C. Trader positioning reflects this strong observational and dynamical agreement from official guidance, with resolution hinging on verified station readings rather than forecasts alone; only an unforeseen surge in convective activity or measurement revision could realistically shift outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on August 8?
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$126,232 Vol.
$126,232 Vol.
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
Yes
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$126,232 Vol.
$126,232 Vol.
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Central Weather Administration forecasts project daytime maxima of 31–35°C across Taipei on August 8, aligning with long-term August climatology of 32–34°C highs sustained by the subtropical ridge, elevated humidity, and urban heat retention. Peripheral rain bands from Typhoon Dolphin may introduce cloud cover and scattered showers, yet model consensus indicates limited cooling potential that would still keep the daily peak well above 32°C. Trader positioning reflects this strong observational and dynamical agreement from official guidance, with resolution hinging on verified station readings rather than forecasts alone; only an unforeseen surge in convective activity or measurement revision could realistically shift outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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