Trader consensus at 100% for a 32°C high on September 11 reflects real-time forecasts from Singapore's Meteorological Service and international models projecting a daily maximum near that threshold. Equatorial conditions in September typically feature afternoon convection and thundery showers that limit peak temperatures to seasonal norms around 31–32°C, with high humidity and southeasterly winds suppressing further warming. Official guidance notes localized heavy showers over northern, eastern, and central areas, consistent with observed radar returns and model runs emphasizing rapid cloud build-up by midday. This market-implied outcome aligns with verified observational baselines rather than extremes. Clearer skies or delayed convection could allow brief spikes above 32°C, though current atmospheric moisture and steering patterns make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedView resolved

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