Official observations from Singapore's Meteorological Service at the Changi Climate Station—the reference site for daily records—confirm a peak temperature of 33°C mid-afternoon on May 10, 2026, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome. Inter-monsoon conditions with light winds and afternoon thundery showers triggered convective activity, capping solar heating before typical peak times (2-4 PM local), as shown in NEA real-time data and forecast models. Trader consensus aligns with this skin-in-the-game assessment, given historical May highs averaging 31-33°C and minimal diurnal range in Singapore's tropical climate. A challenge would require improbable late-evening clear skies and renewed insolation post-sunset (around 7:07 PM SGT), with final NEA records expected by month's end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Singapore on May 10?
Highest temperature in Singapore on May 10?
33°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$87,974 Vol.
$87,974 Vol.
May 10, 2026
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$87,974 Vol.
$87,974 Vol.
May 10, 2026
24°C or below
$1,748 Vol.
No
25°C
$4,039 Vol.
No
26°C
$1,817 Vol.
No
27°C
$4,245 Vol.
No
28°C
$2,837 Vol.
No
29°C
$10,815 Vol.
No
30°C
$9,914 Vol.
No
31°C
$7,403 Vol.
No
32°C
$11,451 Vol.
No
33°C
$17,260 Vol.
Yes
34°C or higher
$16,445 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Singapore's Meteorological Service at the Changi Climate Station—the reference site for daily records—confirm a peak temperature of 33°C mid-afternoon on May 10, 2026, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome. Inter-monsoon conditions with light winds and afternoon thundery showers triggered convective activity, capping solar heating before typical peak times (2-4 PM local), as shown in NEA real-time data and forecast models. Trader consensus aligns with this skin-in-the-game assessment, given historical May highs averaging 31-33°C and minimal diurnal range in Singapore's tropical climate. A challenge would require improbable late-evening clear skies and renewed insolation post-sunset (around 7:07 PM SGT), with final NEA records expected by month's end.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$87,974End Date
May 10, 2026Market Opened
May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Singapore's Meteorological Service at the Changi Climate Station—the reference site for daily records—confirm a peak temperature of 33°C mid-afternoon on May 10, 2026, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome. Inter-monsoon conditions with light winds and afternoon thundery showers triggered convective activity, capping solar heating before typical peak times (2-4 PM local), as shown in NEA real-time data and forecast models. Trader consensus aligns with this skin-in-the-game assessment, given historical May highs averaging 31-33°C and minimal diurnal range in Singapore's tropical climate. A challenge would require improbable late-evening clear skies and renewed insolation post-sunset (around 7:07 PM SGT), with final NEA records expected by month's end.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$87,974End Date
May 10, 2026Market Opened
May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official observations from Singapore's Meteorological Service at the Changi Climate Station—the reference site for daily records—confirm a peak temperature of 33°C mid-afternoon on May 10, 2026, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome. Inter-monsoon conditions with light winds and afternoon thundery showers triggered convective activity, capping solar heating before typical peak times (2-4 PM local), as shown in NEA real-time data and forecast models. Trader consensus aligns with this skin-in-the-game assessment, given historical May highs averaging 31-33°C and minimal diurnal range in Singapore's tropical climate. A challenge would require improbable late-evening clear skies and renewed insolation post-sunset (around 7:07 PM SGT), with final NEA records expected by month's end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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