Official forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office indicate a daytime maximum of 34°C for Shenzhen on August 17, with high humidity and possible thundery showers that limit further warming. This aligns with seasonal August averages near 32–33°C and recent model consensus showing stable subtropical high pressure steering warmer air over the region. Traders have converged on the 34°C outcome at 100% implied probability because current observational trends and ensemble runs show little room for deviation beyond a degree or two. Resolution hinges on the official Shenzhen meteorological station reading; realistic challenges include stronger afternoon convection or unexpected cloud cover dropping the peak below 34°C, or clearer skies pushing it to 35°C if steering patterns shift.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 17?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 17?
34°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$89,495 Vol.
$89,495 Vol.
Aug 17, 2026
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$89,495 Vol.
$89,495 Vol.
Aug 17, 2026
27°C or below
$533 Vol.
No
28°C
$591 Vol.
No
29°C
$1,700 Vol.
No
30°C
$1,706 Vol.
No
31°C
$2,922 Vol.
No
32°C
$6,439 Vol.
No
33°C
$16,386 Vol.
No
34°C
$16,976 Vol.
Yes
35°C
$14,153 Vol.
No
36°C
$20,455 Vol.
No
37°C or higher
$7,635 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office indicate a daytime maximum of 34°C for Shenzhen on August 17, with high humidity and possible thundery showers that limit further warming. This aligns with seasonal August averages near 32–33°C and recent model consensus showing stable subtropical high pressure steering warmer air over the region. Traders have converged on the 34°C outcome at 100% implied probability because current observational trends and ensemble runs show little room for deviation beyond a degree or two. Resolution hinges on the official Shenzhen meteorological station reading; realistic challenges include stronger afternoon convection or unexpected cloud cover dropping the peak below 34°C, or clearer skies pushing it to 35°C if steering patterns shift.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
Volume
$89,495End Date
Aug 17, 2026Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office indicate a daytime maximum of 34°C for Shenzhen on August 17, with high humidity and possible thundery showers that limit further warming. This aligns with seasonal August averages near 32–33°C and recent model consensus showing stable subtropical high pressure steering warmer air over the region. Traders have converged on the 34°C outcome at 100% implied probability because current observational trends and ensemble runs show little room for deviation beyond a degree or two. Resolution hinges on the official Shenzhen meteorological station reading; realistic challenges include stronger afternoon convection or unexpected cloud cover dropping the peak below 34°C, or clearer skies pushing it to 35°C if steering patterns shift.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$89,495End Date
Aug 17, 2026Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office indicate a daytime maximum of 34°C for Shenzhen on August 17, with high humidity and possible thundery showers that limit further warming. This aligns with seasonal August averages near 32–33°C and recent model consensus showing stable subtropical high pressure steering warmer air over the region. Traders have converged on the 34°C outcome at 100% implied probability because current observational trends and ensemble runs show little room for deviation beyond a degree or two. Resolution hinges on the official Shenzhen meteorological station reading; realistic challenges include stronger afternoon convection or unexpected cloud cover dropping the peak below 34°C, or clearer skies pushing it to 35°C if steering patterns shift.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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