Forecast consensus from meteorological agencies points to a daily maximum of 33°C in Shanghai on August 8, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, light winds, and elevated humidity that limit daytime cooling and support peak readings near that threshold. Official model runs and observational data align closely with this value, reflecting typical late-summer conditions where urban heat island effects and regional advection maintain highs in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius. Traders assign near-certainty to 33°C because current guidance shows minimal spread across ensembles, with resolution criteria tied to standardized station measurements. Unforeseen increases in cloud cover or convective activity could cap the maximum below this level, while stronger subsidence or reduced precipitation might push it higher, though both remain low-probability shifts on this date.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 8?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 8?
33°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$137,160 Vol.
$137,160 Vol.
Aug 8, 2026
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$137,160 Vol.
$137,160 Vol.
Aug 8, 2026
27°C or below
$2,684 Vol.
No
28°C
$6,288 Vol.
No
29°C
$6,260 Vol.
No
30°C
$13,740 Vol.
No
31°C
$15,289 Vol.
No
32°C
$33,918 Vol.
No
33°C
$25,379 Vol.
Yes
34°C
$18,979 Vol.
No
35°C
$9,748 Vol.
No
36°C
$2,737 Vol.
No
37°C or higher
$2,138 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from meteorological agencies points to a daily maximum of 33°C in Shanghai on August 8, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, light winds, and elevated humidity that limit daytime cooling and support peak readings near that threshold. Official model runs and observational data align closely with this value, reflecting typical late-summer conditions where urban heat island effects and regional advection maintain highs in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius. Traders assign near-certainty to 33°C because current guidance shows minimal spread across ensembles, with resolution criteria tied to standardized station measurements. Unforeseen increases in cloud cover or convective activity could cap the maximum below this level, while stronger subsidence or reduced precipitation might push it higher, though both remain low-probability shifts on this date.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$137,160End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from meteorological agencies points to a daily maximum of 33°C in Shanghai on August 8, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, light winds, and elevated humidity that limit daytime cooling and support peak readings near that threshold. Official model runs and observational data align closely with this value, reflecting typical late-summer conditions where urban heat island effects and regional advection maintain highs in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius. Traders assign near-certainty to 33°C because current guidance shows minimal spread across ensembles, with resolution criteria tied to standardized station measurements. Unforeseen increases in cloud cover or convective activity could cap the maximum below this level, while stronger subsidence or reduced precipitation might push it higher, though both remain low-probability shifts on this date.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$137,160End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Forecast consensus from meteorological agencies points to a daily maximum of 33°C in Shanghai on August 8, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, light winds, and elevated humidity that limit daytime cooling and support peak readings near that threshold. Official model runs and observational data align closely with this value, reflecting typical late-summer conditions where urban heat island effects and regional advection maintain highs in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius. Traders assign near-certainty to 33°C because current guidance shows minimal spread across ensembles, with resolution criteria tied to standardized station measurements. Unforeseen increases in cloud cover or convective activity could cap the maximum below this level, while stronger subsidence or reduced precipitation might push it higher, though both remain low-probability shifts on this date.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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