Official observations from Shanghai's primary meteorological stations, including Xujiahui (peaking at 17.6°C) and Baoshan (17.0°C), confirm the highest temperature on April 14 reached 17°C amid persistent light rain, fog, and dense low cloud cover that limited solar insolation and daytime heating. This outcome aligns with China Meteorological Administration reports and pre-day forecast consensus from global models like ECMWF and GFS, which anticipated subdued highs under a passing cool front, below the typical April average of 18-19°C at Xujiahui. Trader sentiment at 100% implied probability for 17°C reflects this robust evidentiary base from real-time data feeds. Realistic challenges would require a post hoc revision from Pudong International Airport station data or an overlooked peripheral reading exceeding 17.9°C, though current stabilization into evening minimizes such risks. Final resolution awaits official daily summary release.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shanghai on April 14?
17°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$198,274 Vol.
$198,274 Vol.
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
17°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$198,274 Vol.
$198,274 Vol.
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 12, 2026, 12:25 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official observations from Shanghai's primary meteorological stations, including Xujiahui (peaking at 17.6°C) and Baoshan (17.0°C), confirm the highest temperature on April 14 reached 17°C amid persistent light rain, fog, and dense low cloud cover that limited solar insolation and daytime heating. This outcome aligns with China Meteorological Administration reports and pre-day forecast consensus from global models like ECMWF and GFS, which anticipated subdued highs under a passing cool front, below the typical April average of 18-19°C at Xujiahui. Trader sentiment at 100% implied probability for 17°C reflects this robust evidentiary base from real-time data feeds. Realistic challenges would require a post hoc revision from Pudong International Airport station data or an overlooked peripheral reading exceeding 17.9°C, though current stabilization into evening minimizes such risks. Final resolution awaits official daily summary release.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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