**Korea Meteorological Administration observations through midday May 11 confirm Seoul's highest temperature peaked at 20°C around 11:00–12:00 local time, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on this outcome amid cloudy skies and approaching spring rains.** Persistent overcast conditions and moderate precipitation have suppressed daytime heating, aligning with short-range forecast models projecting daily highs in the 18–20°C range under a trough of low pressure. Historical mid-May averages hover around 22°C, but today's atmospheric setup—cooler air masses from the north and high humidity—limits convective warming. Scenarios challenging this include unexpected afternoon clearing allowing solar insolation to push readings to 21°C+, though incoming storm-like rains make that improbable; final KMA surface observations later today will lock in the official maximum for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seoul on May 11?
Highest temperature in Seoul on May 11?
20°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$177,763 Vol.
$177,763 Vol.
May 11, 2026
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$177,763 Vol.
$177,763 Vol.
May 11, 2026
12°C or below
$6,049 Vol.
No
13°C
$1,110 Vol.
No
14°C
$5,517 Vol.
No
15°C
$4,937 Vol.
No
16°C
$15,950 Vol.
No
17°C
$15,914 Vol.
No
18°C
$16,838 Vol.
No
19°C
$21,189 Vol.
No
20°C
$30,856 Vol.
Yes
21°C
$25,569 Vol.
No
22°C or higher
$33,834 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Korea Meteorological Administration observations through midday May 11 confirm Seoul's highest temperature peaked at 20°C around 11:00–12:00 local time, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on this outcome amid cloudy skies and approaching spring rains.** Persistent overcast conditions and moderate precipitation have suppressed daytime heating, aligning with short-range forecast models projecting daily highs in the 18–20°C range under a trough of low pressure. Historical mid-May averages hover around 22°C, but today's atmospheric setup—cooler air masses from the north and high humidity—limits convective warming. Scenarios challenging this include unexpected afternoon clearing allowing solar insolation to push readings to 21°C+, though incoming storm-like rains make that improbable; final KMA surface observations later today will lock in the official maximum for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 9, 2026, 7:37 AM ET
Volume
$177,763End Date
May 11, 2026Market Opened
May 9, 2026, 7:37 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Korea Meteorological Administration observations through midday May 11 confirm Seoul's highest temperature peaked at 20°C around 11:00–12:00 local time, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on this outcome amid cloudy skies and approaching spring rains.** Persistent overcast conditions and moderate precipitation have suppressed daytime heating, aligning with short-range forecast models projecting daily highs in the 18–20°C range under a trough of low pressure. Historical mid-May averages hover around 22°C, but today's atmospheric setup—cooler air masses from the north and high humidity—limits convective warming. Scenarios challenging this include unexpected afternoon clearing allowing solar insolation to push readings to 21°C+, though incoming storm-like rains make that improbable; final KMA surface observations later today will lock in the official maximum for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$177,763End Date
May 11, 2026Market Opened
May 9, 2026, 7:37 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
**Korea Meteorological Administration observations through midday May 11 confirm Seoul's highest temperature peaked at 20°C around 11:00–12:00 local time, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on this outcome amid cloudy skies and approaching spring rains.** Persistent overcast conditions and moderate precipitation have suppressed daytime heating, aligning with short-range forecast models projecting daily highs in the 18–20°C range under a trough of low pressure. Historical mid-May averages hover around 22°C, but today's atmospheric setup—cooler air masses from the north and high humidity—limits convective warming. Scenarios challenging this include unexpected afternoon clearing allowing solar insolation to push readings to 21°C+, though incoming storm-like rains make that improbable; final KMA surface observations later today will lock in the official maximum for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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