Korea Meteorological Administration's short-range forecast projects Seoul's highest temperature on May 10 at 25°C under mostly clear skies and light southerly winds, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 22°C or higher. Morning observations at Seoul station show temperatures rising from 12°C with 0% precipitation risk, enabling typical diurnal heating amplified by a stable high-pressure ridge over the Korean Peninsula. Global models like ECMWF and GFS show strong agreement, a shift from cooler highs of 19-20°C earlier this week. Realistic challenges include sudden cloud cover or northerly gusts capping peaks below 22°C, though upper-air patterns render this improbable; monitor hourly KMA updates through afternoon for final measurements.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seoul on May 10?
Highest temperature in Seoul on May 10?
22°C or higher 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$241,362 Vol.
$241,362 Vol.
May 10, 2026
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
Yes
22°C or higher 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$241,362 Vol.
$241,362 Vol.
May 10, 2026
12°C or below
$6,489 Vol.
No
13°C
$3,174 Vol.
No
14°C
$3,680 Vol.
No
15°C
$3,796 Vol.
No
16°C
$5,066 Vol.
No
17°C
$12,874 Vol.
No
18°C
$47,214 Vol.
No
19°C
$33,264 Vol.
No
20°C
$56,577 Vol.
No
21°C
$38,506 Vol.
No
22°C or higher
$30,723 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration's short-range forecast projects Seoul's highest temperature on May 10 at 25°C under mostly clear skies and light southerly winds, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 22°C or higher. Morning observations at Seoul station show temperatures rising from 12°C with 0% precipitation risk, enabling typical diurnal heating amplified by a stable high-pressure ridge over the Korean Peninsula. Global models like ECMWF and GFS show strong agreement, a shift from cooler highs of 19-20°C earlier this week. Realistic challenges include sudden cloud cover or northerly gusts capping peaks below 22°C, though upper-air patterns render this improbable; monitor hourly KMA updates through afternoon for final measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 8, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$241,362End Date
May 10, 2026Market Opened
May 8, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration's short-range forecast projects Seoul's highest temperature on May 10 at 25°C under mostly clear skies and light southerly winds, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 22°C or higher. Morning observations at Seoul station show temperatures rising from 12°C with 0% precipitation risk, enabling typical diurnal heating amplified by a stable high-pressure ridge over the Korean Peninsula. Global models like ECMWF and GFS show strong agreement, a shift from cooler highs of 19-20°C earlier this week. Realistic challenges include sudden cloud cover or northerly gusts capping peaks below 22°C, though upper-air patterns render this improbable; monitor hourly KMA updates through afternoon for final measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$241,362End Date
May 10, 2026Market Opened
May 8, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Korea Meteorological Administration's short-range forecast projects Seoul's highest temperature on May 10 at 25°C under mostly clear skies and light southerly winds, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 22°C or higher. Morning observations at Seoul station show temperatures rising from 12°C with 0% precipitation risk, enabling typical diurnal heating amplified by a stable high-pressure ridge over the Korean Peninsula. Global models like ECMWF and GFS show strong agreement, a shift from cooler highs of 19-20°C earlier this week. Realistic challenges include sudden cloud cover or northerly gusts capping peaks below 22°C, though upper-air patterns render this improbable; monitor hourly KMA updates through afternoon for final measurements.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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