Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate Seoul's July 27 daytime maximum will likely peak near 31–32 °C under partly cloudy skies with early thunderstorms possible. This consensus, tempered by high humidity and monsoon moisture that can suppress afternoon heating through cloud cover and rainfall, drives the tightly clustered market-implied odds around 30–32 °C. Subtle differences in steering flow and precipitation timing explain the spread: stronger convection or earlier rain lowers peaks toward 30 °C, while clearer breaks allow brief pushes above 32 °C. Historical July baselines near 29 °C and current subtropical ridge positioning further anchor trader assessments of these narrow thresholds ahead of final observational data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seoul on July 27?
Highest temperature in Seoul on July 27?
31°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$225,120 Vol.
$225,120 Vol.
Jul 27, 2026
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$225,120 Vol.
$225,120 Vol.
Jul 27, 2026
23°C or below
$1,546 Vol.
No
24°C
$1,407 Vol.
No
25°C
$999 Vol.
No
26°C
$2,681 Vol.
No
27°C
$5,899 Vol.
No
28°C
$13,482 Vol.
No
29°C
$17,675 Vol.
No
30°C
$131,713 Vol.
No
31°C
$11,353 Vol.
Yes
32°C
$13,883 Vol.
No
33°C or higher
$24,481 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate Seoul's July 27 daytime maximum will likely peak near 31–32 °C under partly cloudy skies with early thunderstorms possible. This consensus, tempered by high humidity and monsoon moisture that can suppress afternoon heating through cloud cover and rainfall, drives the tightly clustered market-implied odds around 30–32 °C. Subtle differences in steering flow and precipitation timing explain the spread: stronger convection or earlier rain lowers peaks toward 30 °C, while clearer breaks allow brief pushes above 32 °C. Historical July baselines near 29 °C and current subtropical ridge positioning further anchor trader assessments of these narrow thresholds ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 25, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$225,120End Date
Jul 27, 2026Market Opened
Jul 25, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate Seoul's July 27 daytime maximum will likely peak near 31–32 °C under partly cloudy skies with early thunderstorms possible. This consensus, tempered by high humidity and monsoon moisture that can suppress afternoon heating through cloud cover and rainfall, drives the tightly clustered market-implied odds around 30–32 °C. Subtle differences in steering flow and precipitation timing explain the spread: stronger convection or earlier rain lowers peaks toward 30 °C, while clearer breaks allow brief pushes above 32 °C. Historical July baselines near 29 °C and current subtropical ridge positioning further anchor trader assessments of these narrow thresholds ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$225,120End Date
Jul 27, 2026Market Opened
Jul 25, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate Seoul's July 27 daytime maximum will likely peak near 31–32 °C under partly cloudy skies with early thunderstorms possible. This consensus, tempered by high humidity and monsoon moisture that can suppress afternoon heating through cloud cover and rainfall, drives the tightly clustered market-implied odds around 30–32 °C. Subtle differences in steering flow and precipitation timing explain the spread: stronger convection or earlier rain lowers peaks toward 30 °C, while clearer breaks allow brief pushes above 32 °C. Historical July baselines near 29 °C and current subtropical ridge positioning further anchor trader assessments of these narrow thresholds ahead of final observational data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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