Latest Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts indicate a daytime maximum of 34°C for the Seoul-Incheon region on August 10 amid persistent summer heat and high humidity, aligning closely with the market's 33°C consensus. Recent model runs show mostly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and minimal precipitation chances limiting further intensification, consistent with post-heatwave moderation after early August peaks near 39–42°C. Historical August baselines for the area average 29–31°C, making the current pattern supportive of the implied outcome. Uncertainties such as unexpected convective development or revised observational data from Incheon stations could still shift the recorded high.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 10?
33°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$122,201 Vol.
$122,201 Vol.
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$122,201 Vol.
$122,201 Vol.
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Latest Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts indicate a daytime maximum of 34°C for the Seoul-Incheon region on August 10 amid persistent summer heat and high humidity, aligning closely with the market's 33°C consensus. Recent model runs show mostly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and minimal precipitation chances limiting further intensification, consistent with post-heatwave moderation after early August peaks near 39–42°C. Historical August baselines for the area average 29–31°C, making the current pattern supportive of the implied outcome. Uncertainties such as unexpected convective development or revised observational data from Incheon stations could still shift the recorded high.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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