Latest observational data and high-resolution model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration indicate a daily maximum of 32°C in Qingdao on August 9, driven by moderate southerly flow, limited convective activity, and partial cloud cover that caps afternoon heating near this threshold. Ensemble spreads from GFS and ECMWF show tight clustering around 31–33°C, aligning with late-summer climatology where Qingdao’s mean August high is near 29–30°C. Real-time station readings peaking at 32°C during midday have reinforced trader confidence in this outcome. A sudden wind shift enhancing onshore cooling or unexpected clearing could push readings slightly lower, while stronger insolation might briefly test 33°C, though both remain low-probability given current conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Qingdao on August 9?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on August 9?
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$43,988 Vol.
$43,988 Vol.
Aug 9, 2026
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$43,988 Vol.
$43,988 Vol.
Aug 9, 2026
27°C or below
$2,268 Vol.
No
28°C
$2,153 Vol.
No
29°C
$5,183 Vol.
No
30°C
$4,542 Vol.
No
31°C
$4,887 Vol.
No
32°C
$5,616 Vol.
Yes
33°C
$5,806 Vol.
No
34°C
$4,106 Vol.
No
35°C
$2,590 Vol.
No
36°C
$2,748 Vol.
No
37°C or higher
$4,089 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest observational data and high-resolution model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration indicate a daily maximum of 32°C in Qingdao on August 9, driven by moderate southerly flow, limited convective activity, and partial cloud cover that caps afternoon heating near this threshold. Ensemble spreads from GFS and ECMWF show tight clustering around 31–33°C, aligning with late-summer climatology where Qingdao’s mean August high is near 29–30°C. Real-time station readings peaking at 32°C during midday have reinforced trader confidence in this outcome. A sudden wind shift enhancing onshore cooling or unexpected clearing could push readings slightly lower, while stronger insolation might briefly test 33°C, though both remain low-probability given current conditions.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 7, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$43,988End Date
Aug 9, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest observational data and high-resolution model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration indicate a daily maximum of 32°C in Qingdao on August 9, driven by moderate southerly flow, limited convective activity, and partial cloud cover that caps afternoon heating near this threshold. Ensemble spreads from GFS and ECMWF show tight clustering around 31–33°C, aligning with late-summer climatology where Qingdao’s mean August high is near 29–30°C. Real-time station readings peaking at 32°C during midday have reinforced trader confidence in this outcome. A sudden wind shift enhancing onshore cooling or unexpected clearing could push readings slightly lower, while stronger insolation might briefly test 33°C, though both remain low-probability given current conditions.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$43,988End Date
Aug 9, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Latest observational data and high-resolution model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration indicate a daily maximum of 32°C in Qingdao on August 9, driven by moderate southerly flow, limited convective activity, and partial cloud cover that caps afternoon heating near this threshold. Ensemble spreads from GFS and ECMWF show tight clustering around 31–33°C, aligning with late-summer climatology where Qingdao’s mean August high is near 29–30°C. Real-time station readings peaking at 32°C during midday have reinforced trader confidence in this outcome. A sudden wind shift enhancing onshore cooling or unexpected clearing could push readings slightly lower, while stronger insolation might briefly test 33°C, though both remain low-probability given current conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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