Forecast models and observational data from regional meteorological services indicate a peak daytime high of 33°C in Qingdao on August 8, driven by clear to partly cloudy conditions, moderate northeasterly winds, and typical summer heating under high pressure. This aligns with ensemble guidance showing afternoon temperatures reaching but not exceeding that threshold, consistent with historical August maxima near 30–32°C and current humidity levels moderating extremes. The near-certain market positioning reflects real-time verification of these conditions ahead of final daily reporting. Unexpected convective development or rapid cooling from sea breezes could shift the observed maximum downward, while localized urban heat effects or delayed measurement timing represent the main variables that might alter resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Qingdao on August 8?
33°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
34°C <1%
$55,962 Vol.
$55,962 Vol.
31°C or below
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
34°C <1%
$55,962 Vol.
$55,962 Vol.
31°C or below
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C or higher
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Forecast models and observational data from regional meteorological services indicate a peak daytime high of 33°C in Qingdao on August 8, driven by clear to partly cloudy conditions, moderate northeasterly winds, and typical summer heating under high pressure. This aligns with ensemble guidance showing afternoon temperatures reaching but not exceeding that threshold, consistent with historical August maxima near 30–32°C and current humidity levels moderating extremes. The near-certain market positioning reflects real-time verification of these conditions ahead of final daily reporting. Unexpected convective development or rapid cooling from sea breezes could shift the observed maximum downward, while localized urban heat effects or delayed measurement timing represent the main variables that might alter resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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