Recent official forecasts and numerical weather model consensus indicate a daily maximum near 33°C for Qingdao on August 19 under partly cloudy skies and moderate southerly flow, with high humidity from the Yellow Sea limiting further warming. This aligns with climatological August peaks of 29–31°C while allowing brief insolation-driven spikes if afternoon clearing occurs. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 33°C reflects real-time aggregation of skin-in-the-game assessments of local station observations, which resolve markets based on verified daily highs rather than regional averages. Coastal marine effects and potential showers introduce modest uncertainty, though current data make deviations to 32°C or 34°C unlikely without rapid model shifts before final reporting.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Qingdao on August 19?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on August 19?
33°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$32,805 Vol.
$32,805 Vol.
Aug 19, 2026
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$32,805 Vol.
$32,805 Vol.
Aug 19, 2026
26°C or below
$60 Vol.
No
27°C
$475 Vol.
No
28°C
$1,946 Vol.
No
29°C
$2,420 Vol.
No
30°C
$4,566 Vol.
No
31°C
$7,283 Vol.
No
32°C
$4,157 Vol.
No
33°C
$4,352 Vol.
Yes
34°C
$3,992 Vol.
No
35°C
$2,703 Vol.
No
36°C or higher
$852 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts and numerical weather model consensus indicate a daily maximum near 33°C for Qingdao on August 19 under partly cloudy skies and moderate southerly flow, with high humidity from the Yellow Sea limiting further warming. This aligns with climatological August peaks of 29–31°C while allowing brief insolation-driven spikes if afternoon clearing occurs. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 33°C reflects real-time aggregation of skin-in-the-game assessments of local station observations, which resolve markets based on verified daily highs rather than regional averages. Coastal marine effects and potential showers introduce modest uncertainty, though current data make deviations to 32°C or 34°C unlikely without rapid model shifts before final reporting.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$32,805End Date
Aug 19, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts and numerical weather model consensus indicate a daily maximum near 33°C for Qingdao on August 19 under partly cloudy skies and moderate southerly flow, with high humidity from the Yellow Sea limiting further warming. This aligns with climatological August peaks of 29–31°C while allowing brief insolation-driven spikes if afternoon clearing occurs. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 33°C reflects real-time aggregation of skin-in-the-game assessments of local station observations, which resolve markets based on verified daily highs rather than regional averages. Coastal marine effects and potential showers introduce modest uncertainty, though current data make deviations to 32°C or 34°C unlikely without rapid model shifts before final reporting.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$32,805End Date
Aug 19, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent official forecasts and numerical weather model consensus indicate a daily maximum near 33°C for Qingdao on August 19 under partly cloudy skies and moderate southerly flow, with high humidity from the Yellow Sea limiting further warming. This aligns with climatological August peaks of 29–31°C while allowing brief insolation-driven spikes if afternoon clearing occurs. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 33°C reflects real-time aggregation of skin-in-the-game assessments of local station observations, which resolve markets based on verified daily highs rather than regional averages. Coastal marine effects and potential showers introduce modest uncertainty, though current data make deviations to 32°C or 34°C unlikely without rapid model shifts before final reporting.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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