Official forecasts from Météo-France and supporting models position Paris for a maximum of 32°C on August 11 under clear skies and weak northeasterly flow during the ongoing heatwave, with afternoon readings near that threshold at urban stations. This aligns with seasonal norms elevated by 3–5°C amid broader warm anomalies across western Europe, where surface observations and ensemble guidance show limited upward potential before evening cooling. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects the narrow uncertainty band around this value, as verified measurements rarely deviate more than 1°C from consensus forecasts on such days. An unexpected convective cell or revised boundary-layer mixing could still push readings to 33°C or hold them at 31°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Paris on August 11?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 11?
32°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$116,022 Vol.
$116,022 Vol.
Aug 11, 2026
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$116,022 Vol.
$116,022 Vol.
Aug 11, 2026
28°C or below
$9,361 Vol.
No
29°C
$3,572 Vol.
No
30°C
$11,719 Vol.
No
31°C
$22,569 Vol.
No
32°C
$20,470 Vol.
Yes
33°C
$18,783 Vol.
No
34°C
$21,990 Vol.
No
35°C
$5,423 Vol.
No
36°C
$1,273 Vol.
No
37°C
$458 Vol.
No
38°C or higher
$403 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Météo-France and supporting models position Paris for a maximum of 32°C on August 11 under clear skies and weak northeasterly flow during the ongoing heatwave, with afternoon readings near that threshold at urban stations. This aligns with seasonal norms elevated by 3–5°C amid broader warm anomalies across western Europe, where surface observations and ensemble guidance show limited upward potential before evening cooling. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects the narrow uncertainty band around this value, as verified measurements rarely deviate more than 1°C from consensus forecasts on such days. An unexpected convective cell or revised boundary-layer mixing could still push readings to 33°C or hold them at 31°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$116,022End Date
Aug 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Météo-France and supporting models position Paris for a maximum of 32°C on August 11 under clear skies and weak northeasterly flow during the ongoing heatwave, with afternoon readings near that threshold at urban stations. This aligns with seasonal norms elevated by 3–5°C amid broader warm anomalies across western Europe, where surface observations and ensemble guidance show limited upward potential before evening cooling. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects the narrow uncertainty band around this value, as verified measurements rarely deviate more than 1°C from consensus forecasts on such days. An unexpected convective cell or revised boundary-layer mixing could still push readings to 33°C or hold them at 31°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$116,022End Date
Aug 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official forecasts from Météo-France and supporting models position Paris for a maximum of 32°C on August 11 under clear skies and weak northeasterly flow during the ongoing heatwave, with afternoon readings near that threshold at urban stations. This aligns with seasonal norms elevated by 3–5°C amid broader warm anomalies across western Europe, where surface observations and ensemble guidance show limited upward potential before evening cooling. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects the narrow uncertainty band around this value, as verified measurements rarely deviate more than 1°C from consensus forecasts on such days. An unexpected convective cell or revised boundary-layer mixing could still push readings to 33°C or hold them at 31°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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