Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies point to a peak temperature of 32°C in Paris on August 10 under dominant high-pressure conditions and clear skies, aligning with the market's near-certain trader consensus. Model runs show stable atmospheric patterns with limited moisture and moderate winds preventing significant deviation, consistent with typical early-August baselines around 25–28°C but elevated by seasonal warming. This positioning reflects aggregated real-money assessments of official data rather than guarantees. A realistic challenge could arise from last-minute forecast revisions by Météo-France, unexpected convective activity, or measurement discrepancies at official stations that shift the recorded high outside the narrow 32°C bin.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Paris on August 10?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 10?
32°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
33°C <1%
$65,332 Vol.
$65,332 Vol.
Aug 10, 2026
30°C or below
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
33°C <1%
$65,332 Vol.
$65,332 Vol.
Aug 10, 2026
30°C or below
$6,874 Vol.
No
31°C
$27,653 Vol.
No
32°C
$11,151 Vol.
Yes
33°C
$9,204 Vol.
No
34°C
$5,052 Vol.
No
35°C
$2,509 Vol.
No
36°C
$688 Vol.
No
37°C
$612 Vol.
No
38°C
$476 Vol.
No
39°C
$557 Vol.
No
40°C or higher
$557 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies point to a peak temperature of 32°C in Paris on August 10 under dominant high-pressure conditions and clear skies, aligning with the market's near-certain trader consensus. Model runs show stable atmospheric patterns with limited moisture and moderate winds preventing significant deviation, consistent with typical early-August baselines around 25–28°C but elevated by seasonal warming. This positioning reflects aggregated real-money assessments of official data rather than guarantees. A realistic challenge could arise from last-minute forecast revisions by Météo-France, unexpected convective activity, or measurement discrepancies at official stations that shift the recorded high outside the narrow 32°C bin.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 8, 2026, 1:01 AM ET
Volume
$65,332End Date
Aug 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 1:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies point to a peak temperature of 32°C in Paris on August 10 under dominant high-pressure conditions and clear skies, aligning with the market's near-certain trader consensus. Model runs show stable atmospheric patterns with limited moisture and moderate winds preventing significant deviation, consistent with typical early-August baselines around 25–28°C but elevated by seasonal warming. This positioning reflects aggregated real-money assessments of official data rather than guarantees. A realistic challenge could arise from last-minute forecast revisions by Météo-France, unexpected convective activity, or measurement discrepancies at official stations that shift the recorded high outside the narrow 32°C bin.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$65,332End Date
Aug 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 1:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies point to a peak temperature of 32°C in Paris on August 10 under dominant high-pressure conditions and clear skies, aligning with the market's near-certain trader consensus. Model runs show stable atmospheric patterns with limited moisture and moderate winds preventing significant deviation, consistent with typical early-August baselines around 25–28°C but elevated by seasonal warming. This positioning reflects aggregated real-money assessments of official data rather than guarantees. A realistic challenge could arise from last-minute forecast revisions by Météo-France, unexpected convective activity, or measurement discrepancies at official stations that shift the recorded high outside the narrow 32°C bin.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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