Official meteorological observations from Panama City confirmed a daily maximum of 31°C on August 18, aligning with typical late-summer conditions during the region's rainy season when Atlantic moisture and consistent solar heating produce highs around this level. National weather services and station data, including timeanddate records showing 88°F (31°C), drove the market's near-certain positioning on this outcome, as traders incorporated verified readings rather than model forecasts. This consensus reflects the low variability in equatorial Pacific coastal climates, where deviations beyond a degree or two are uncommon without major atmospheric shifts. Resolution could still shift only if the designated official source publishes a revised or discrepant value, though such adjustments are rare after initial verification.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on August 18?
31°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$42,111 Vol.
$42,111 Vol.
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$42,111 Vol.
$42,111 Vol.
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 16, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official meteorological observations from Panama City confirmed a daily maximum of 31°C on August 18, aligning with typical late-summer conditions during the region's rainy season when Atlantic moisture and consistent solar heating produce highs around this level. National weather services and station data, including timeanddate records showing 88°F (31°C), drove the market's near-certain positioning on this outcome, as traders incorporated verified readings rather than model forecasts. This consensus reflects the low variability in equatorial Pacific coastal climates, where deviations beyond a degree or two are uncommon without major atmospheric shifts. Resolution could still shift only if the designated official source publishes a revised or discrepant value, though such adjustments are rare after initial verification.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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