Official Weather Underground observations from LaGuardia Airport (KLGA) station—the market's authoritative resolution source—confirm New York City's highest temperature on May 10 reached 72-73°F, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for that bin. Persistent morning mist and dense fog, as issued by the National Weather Service, transitioned to overcast skies and haze, suppressing solar heating amid light winds (under 10 mph) and high humidity near 90-97%. This capped peaks in the low-to-mid 70s despite a mild seasonal air mass, aligning below recent model forecasts but near the May 10 climatological average of 68°F. Post-finalization data revisions are rare and ignored per rules, solidifying the outcome barring sensor anomalies.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in NYC on May 10?
Highest temperature in NYC on May 10?
72-73°F 100.0%
63°F or below <1%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$201,481 Vol.
$201,481 Vol.
May 10, 2026
63°F or below
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
Yes
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82°F or higher
No
72-73°F 100.0%
63°F or below <1%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$201,481 Vol.
$201,481 Vol.
May 10, 2026
63°F or below
$8,496 Vol.
No
64-65°F
$16,880 Vol.
No
66-67°F
$20,814 Vol.
No
68-69°F
$30,131 Vol.
No
70-71°F
$43,892 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$26,778 Vol.
Yes
74-75°F
$21,312 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$15,235 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$8,457 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$5,162 Vol.
No
82°F or higher
$4,325 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Weather Underground observations from LaGuardia Airport (KLGA) station—the market's authoritative resolution source—confirm New York City's highest temperature on May 10 reached 72-73°F, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for that bin. Persistent morning mist and dense fog, as issued by the National Weather Service, transitioned to overcast skies and haze, suppressing solar heating amid light winds (under 10 mph) and high humidity near 90-97%. This capped peaks in the low-to-mid 70s despite a mild seasonal air mass, aligning below recent model forecasts but near the May 10 climatological average of 68°F. Post-finalization data revisions are rare and ignored per rules, solidifying the outcome barring sensor anomalies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 8, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$201,481End Date
May 10, 2026Market Opened
May 8, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Weather Underground observations from LaGuardia Airport (KLGA) station—the market's authoritative resolution source—confirm New York City's highest temperature on May 10 reached 72-73°F, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for that bin. Persistent morning mist and dense fog, as issued by the National Weather Service, transitioned to overcast skies and haze, suppressing solar heating amid light winds (under 10 mph) and high humidity near 90-97%. This capped peaks in the low-to-mid 70s despite a mild seasonal air mass, aligning below recent model forecasts but near the May 10 climatological average of 68°F. Post-finalization data revisions are rare and ignored per rules, solidifying the outcome barring sensor anomalies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$201,481End Date
May 10, 2026Market Opened
May 8, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official Weather Underground observations from LaGuardia Airport (KLGA) station—the market's authoritative resolution source—confirm New York City's highest temperature on May 10 reached 72-73°F, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for that bin. Persistent morning mist and dense fog, as issued by the National Weather Service, transitioned to overcast skies and haze, suppressing solar heating amid light winds (under 10 mph) and high humidity near 90-97%. This capped peaks in the low-to-mid 70s despite a mild seasonal air mass, aligning below recent model forecasts but near the May 10 climatological average of 68°F. Post-finalization data revisions are rare and ignored per rules, solidifying the outcome barring sensor anomalies.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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