Official temperature observations from the National Weather Service for New York City on August 17, 2026, recorded a daily maximum of 80–81°F at the primary Central Park station, aligning precisely with the market’s near-certain resolution. This outcome reflects direct instrumental measurements under standard protocols, with no significant model discrepancies or observational revisions reported in the immediate post-event period. Traders’ overwhelming consensus on this narrow band stems from verified post-storm cooling following earlier August heat, consistent with seasonal climatology and recent National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration data releases. The positioning could shift only in the unlikely event of an official station data correction or a change in the market’s designated measurement source.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in NYC on August 17?
Highest temperature in NYC on August 17?
80-81°F 100.0%
75°F or below <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$237,741 Vol.
$237,741 Vol.
Aug 17, 2026
75°F or below
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
Yes
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94°F or higher
No
80-81°F 100.0%
75°F or below <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$237,741 Vol.
$237,741 Vol.
Aug 17, 2026
75°F or below
$28,478 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$41,333 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$40,514 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$28,258 Vol.
Yes
82-83°F
$27,286 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$40,823 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$13,691 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$11,018 Vol.
No
90-91°F
$5,333 Vol.
No
92-93°F
$406 Vol.
No
94°F or higher
$603 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official temperature observations from the National Weather Service for New York City on August 17, 2026, recorded a daily maximum of 80–81°F at the primary Central Park station, aligning precisely with the market’s near-certain resolution. This outcome reflects direct instrumental measurements under standard protocols, with no significant model discrepancies or observational revisions reported in the immediate post-event period. Traders’ overwhelming consensus on this narrow band stems from verified post-storm cooling following earlier August heat, consistent with seasonal climatology and recent National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration data releases. The positioning could shift only in the unlikely event of an official station data correction or a change in the market’s designated measurement source.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 15, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
Volume
$237,741End Date
Aug 17, 2026Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 9:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official temperature observations from the National Weather Service for New York City on August 17, 2026, recorded a daily maximum of 80–81°F at the primary Central Park station, aligning precisely with the market’s near-certain resolution. This outcome reflects direct instrumental measurements under standard protocols, with no significant model discrepancies or observational revisions reported in the immediate post-event period. Traders’ overwhelming consensus on this narrow band stems from verified post-storm cooling following earlier August heat, consistent with seasonal climatology and recent National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration data releases. The positioning could shift only in the unlikely event of an official station data correction or a change in the market’s designated measurement source.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$237,741End Date
Aug 17, 2026Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 9:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official temperature observations from the National Weather Service for New York City on August 17, 2026, recorded a daily maximum of 80–81°F at the primary Central Park station, aligning precisely with the market’s near-certain resolution. This outcome reflects direct instrumental measurements under standard protocols, with no significant model discrepancies or observational revisions reported in the immediate post-event period. Traders’ overwhelming consensus on this narrow band stems from verified post-storm cooling following earlier August heat, consistent with seasonal climatology and recent National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration data releases. The positioning could shift only in the unlikely event of an official station data correction or a change in the market’s designated measurement source.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions