Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 78-79°F (100%) for New York City's highest temperature on April 13, 2026, backed by the National Weather Service's official daily climatological report from Central Park's Belvedere Castle observatory, which recorded a maximum of 78°F at 2:39 p.m. amid partly sunny skies. This outcome reflects unseasonably warm conditions driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering southerly winds and warm air advection, pushing well above the mid-April climatological normal of 61°F—though short of the record 90°F set in 2023. Scenarios challenging this would require rare post-preliminary data revisions by NWS, such as sensor recalibrations, but verified observations render such shifts improbable as the market nears resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in NYC on April 13?
Highest temperature in NYC on April 13?
78-79°F 100.0%
61°F or below <1%
62-63°F <1%
64-65°F <1%
$493,712 Vol.
$493,712 Vol.
Apr 13, 2026
61°F or below
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
Yes
80°F or higher
No
78-79°F 100.0%
61°F or below <1%
62-63°F <1%
64-65°F <1%
$493,712 Vol.
$493,712 Vol.
Apr 13, 2026
61°F or below
$29,618 Vol.
No
62-63°F
$13,227 Vol.
No
64-65°F
$12,671 Vol.
No
66-67°F
$13,474 Vol.
No
68-69°F
$15,669 Vol.
No
70-71°F
$15,037 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$30,822 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$86,958 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$48,062 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$107,865 Vol.
Yes
80°F or higher
$120,309 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 78-79°F (100%) for New York City's highest temperature on April 13, 2026, backed by the National Weather Service's official daily climatological report from Central Park's Belvedere Castle observatory, which recorded a maximum of 78°F at 2:39 p.m. amid partly sunny skies. This outcome reflects unseasonably warm conditions driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering southerly winds and warm air advection, pushing well above the mid-April climatological normal of 61°F—though short of the record 90°F set in 2023. Scenarios challenging this would require rare post-preliminary data revisions by NWS, such as sensor recalibrations, but verified observations render such shifts improbable as the market nears resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$493,712End Date
Apr 13, 2026Market Opened
Apr 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 78-79°F (100%) for New York City's highest temperature on April 13, 2026, backed by the National Weather Service's official daily climatological report from Central Park's Belvedere Castle observatory, which recorded a maximum of 78°F at 2:39 p.m. amid partly sunny skies. This outcome reflects unseasonably warm conditions driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering southerly winds and warm air advection, pushing well above the mid-April climatological normal of 61°F—though short of the record 90°F set in 2023. Scenarios challenging this would require rare post-preliminary data revisions by NWS, such as sensor recalibrations, but verified observations render such shifts improbable as the market nears resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$493,712End Date
Apr 13, 2026Market Opened
Apr 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 78-79°F (100%) for New York City's highest temperature on April 13, 2026, backed by the National Weather Service's official daily climatological report from Central Park's Belvedere Castle observatory, which recorded a maximum of 78°F at 2:39 p.m. amid partly sunny skies. This outcome reflects unseasonably warm conditions driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering southerly winds and warm air advection, pushing well above the mid-April climatological normal of 61°F—though short of the record 90°F set in 2023. Scenarios challenging this would require rare post-preliminary data revisions by NWS, such as sensor recalibrations, but verified observations render such shifts improbable as the market nears resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions