Trader consensus on a 24°C daily maximum in Munich on September 6 reflects late-day observational data and model consensus from sources like GFS, showing afternoon peaks near 23–24°C under mostly clear skies, light northeast winds, and low humidity around 38%. This aligns with the evening readings near 17°C after the high was attained, consistent with the market-implied probability exceeding 99%. Historical September 6 averages near 21°C provide context, yet stable high-pressure conditions and minimal cloud cover supported the precise threshold without deviation. Updated station reports or minor boundary adjustments in official records represent the primary variables that could still alter resolution, though proximity to midnight limits further shifts.