Official observations from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) at Munich Airport station confirm the highest temperature on May 9 reached exactly 22°C, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome. Afternoon readings peaked around 21–22°C under clear skies, light easterly winds, and high pressure influence over Central Europe, matching pre-event forecast consensus from ECMWF and GFS models that projected daily highs near 22°C amid mild spring conditions. Historical May averages for Munich hover around 18–20°C, making this a typical warm day without extremes. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a rare data revision from quality control audits could alter resolution, but multi-station verifications render this highly unlikely. Final DWD ratification expected soon.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on May 9?
22°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$118,175 Vol.
$118,175 Vol.
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$118,175 Vol.
$118,175 Vol.
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 7, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official observations from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) at Munich Airport station confirm the highest temperature on May 9 reached exactly 22°C, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome. Afternoon readings peaked around 21–22°C under clear skies, light easterly winds, and high pressure influence over Central Europe, matching pre-event forecast consensus from ECMWF and GFS models that projected daily highs near 22°C amid mild spring conditions. Historical May averages for Munich hover around 18–20°C, making this a typical warm day without extremes. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a rare data revision from quality control audits could alter resolution, but multi-station verifications render this highly unlikely. Final DWD ratification expected soon.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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