Official forecasts from agencies including Roshydromet and international models show Moscow under stable high-pressure conditions on August 11, with daytime heating expected to produce a maximum of 26°C amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. This aligns with ensemble guidance and recent observational trends for early-to-mid August, when average highs hover near 22°C but can reach the mid-20s under clear or partly cloudy setups without significant advection of cooler air. The market's 100% consensus on 26°C reflects this tight model agreement and real-time station data tracking toward that threshold. A realistic shift could occur only if rapid changes in cloud cover, wind direction, or frontal passage develop in the final hours, potentially capping the high 1–2°C lower.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Moscow on August 11?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 11?
26°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$50,383 Vol.
$50,383 Vol.
Aug 11, 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$50,383 Vol.
$50,383 Vol.
Aug 11, 2026
21°C or below
$1,006 Vol.
No
22°C
$1,065 Vol.
No
23°C
$1,883 Vol.
No
24°C
$15,865 Vol.
No
25°C
$18,869 Vol.
No
26°C
$6,282 Vol.
Yes
27°C
$2,678 Vol.
No
28°C
$554 Vol.
No
29°C
$916 Vol.
No
30°C
$858 Vol.
No
31°C or higher
$408 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from agencies including Roshydromet and international models show Moscow under stable high-pressure conditions on August 11, with daytime heating expected to produce a maximum of 26°C amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. This aligns with ensemble guidance and recent observational trends for early-to-mid August, when average highs hover near 22°C but can reach the mid-20s under clear or partly cloudy setups without significant advection of cooler air. The market's 100% consensus on 26°C reflects this tight model agreement and real-time station data tracking toward that threshold. A realistic shift could occur only if rapid changes in cloud cover, wind direction, or frontal passage develop in the final hours, potentially capping the high 1–2°C lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 9, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$50,383End Date
Aug 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 9, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from agencies including Roshydromet and international models show Moscow under stable high-pressure conditions on August 11, with daytime heating expected to produce a maximum of 26°C amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. This aligns with ensemble guidance and recent observational trends for early-to-mid August, when average highs hover near 22°C but can reach the mid-20s under clear or partly cloudy setups without significant advection of cooler air. The market's 100% consensus on 26°C reflects this tight model agreement and real-time station data tracking toward that threshold. A realistic shift could occur only if rapid changes in cloud cover, wind direction, or frontal passage develop in the final hours, potentially capping the high 1–2°C lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$50,383End Date
Aug 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 9, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official forecasts from agencies including Roshydromet and international models show Moscow under stable high-pressure conditions on August 11, with daytime heating expected to produce a maximum of 26°C amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. This aligns with ensemble guidance and recent observational trends for early-to-mid August, when average highs hover near 22°C but can reach the mid-20s under clear or partly cloudy setups without significant advection of cooler air. The market's 100% consensus on 26°C reflects this tight model agreement and real-time station data tracking toward that threshold. A realistic shift could occur only if rapid changes in cloud cover, wind direction, or frontal passage develop in the final hours, potentially capping the high 1–2°C lower.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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